|

GBP/USD extends the downside toward 1.2700, focus on Fed Chair Powell's speech

  • GBP/USD trades lower on the back of downbeat UK PMI data.
  • UK Composite PMI fell below 50 for the first time since January.
  • Weaker PMIs from both economies flare the likelihood of rate hikes in September meetings.

GBP/USD extends its losses and trades lower around 1.2710 during the Asian session on Thursday. The pair faces downward pressure due to downbeat preliminary PMI data released from the United Kingdom (UK) on Wednesday, which came in below expectations. The preliminary S&P Global/CIPS Composite PMI (Aug) reported a decline of 47.9 from the previous reporting of 50.8, weaker than the expectation of 50.3. The index fell below 50 for the first time since January.

However, US PMIs also fell short of the market consensus, which helped the GBP/USD pair in trimming the losses from the previous day. Additionally, the US Treasury yields fell sharply on weaker US economic data, exerting downward pressure on the Greenback.

S&P Global Manufacturing PMI in August declined to 47, weaker than the market consensus of 49.3, from 49 prior. The S&P Global Services PMI for August dropped to 51 from the prior 52.3, falling short of the expected 52.2.

Weaker PMI data from both countries has signaled weaker economic activities, raising market expectations of less likelihood of interest rate hikes in September meetings by the central banks. This put the market participants into cautious status, seeking further cues on the economic outlook and inflation scenarios.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the performance of the buck against the six major currencies, hovers around 103.40 at the time of writing. Investors turn cautious ahead of the upcoming Jackson Hole annual symposium, where Fed Chair Jerome Powell will deliver a speech on Friday.

Traders will likely monitor Initial Jobless Claims from the United States (US) scheduled to be released later in the day. On the UK docket, GfK Consumer Confidence for August is due to be released on Friday. These datasets might offer valuable perspectives about the economic condition of both countries, providing fresh cues for GBP/USD traders.

GBP/USD: additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.2706
Today Daily Change-0.0020
Today Daily Change %-0.16
Today daily open1.2726
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2743
Daily SMA501.2796
Daily SMA1001.2637
Daily SMA2001.2392
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2765
Previous Daily Low1.2615
Previous Weekly High1.2788
Previous Weekly Low1.2617
Previous Monthly High1.3142
Previous Monthly Low1.2659
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2672
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2708
Daily Pivot Point S11.2639
Daily Pivot Point S21.2552
Daily Pivot Point S31.2489
Daily Pivot Point R11.2789
Daily Pivot Point R21.2852
Daily Pivot Point R31.2939

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD clings to 1.3500 amid marginal losses

GBP/USD alternates gains with losses around the 1.3500 neighbourhood on Tuesday. Indeed, Cable struggles to further extend its incipient recovery in a context of continuous instability in the Middle East and modest gains in the Greenback.

EUR/USD alternates gains with losses near 1.1540

EUR/USD navigates a tight range near 1.1550 in the latter part of Tuesday’s NA session. The US Dollar’s vacillating price action accompanies the pair while market participants gear up for the crucial US inflation data due on Wednesday.

Gold loses the grip below $4,400

Gold retreats from its earlier tops and briefly revisited the $4,350 region per troy ounce on Tuesday. The yellow metal’s modest retracement follows lacklustre gains in the US Dollar and declining US Treasury yields across the curve, all amid steady uncertainty from the geopolitical landscape.

Shiba Inu Price Forecast: SHIB extends sell-off despite surging futures Open Interest
Shiba Inu (SHIB) maintains a bearish outlook on Tuesday, as it edges lower at $0.00000450. This marks the seventh day the meme coin has sustained a sell-off, weighed down by a weak technical structure. Shiba Inu derivatives continue to gain momentum, with perpetual futures Open Interest (OI) rising to 11.08 trillion SHIB on Tuesday, from 10.46 trillion the day before.
The inflation narrative is still way more important than the employment story
Core bonds sold off yesterday with the belly of the curve slightly underperforming in the US while European curves showed more of a bear flattening. Daily changes on the US curve varied between +4.7 bps (2-yr) and +6.4 bps (7-yr).
9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.