|

GBP/USD: Downward momentum has surged – UOB Group

The Pound Sterling (GBP) is expected to continue to decline, but it remains to be seen if the major support at 1.2665 is within reach today. Un the longer run, downward momentum has surged; the next technical target is at 1.2665, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note.

The next technical target is at 1.2665

24-HOUR VIEW: “GBP fell to a low of 1.2858 on Monday. When GBP was trading at 1.2870 yesterday, we pointed out that ‘there is scope for GBP to drop to 1.2835.’ We also pointed out that ‘the major support at 1.2800 is unlikely to come under threat.’ The sudden surge in downward momentum was surprising, as GBP broke below 1.2800 and plunged to 1.2719. GBP closed sharply lower by 0.96% at 1.2747. The impulsive downward momentum is likely to outweigh the deeply oversold conditions. In other words, GBP is expected to continue to decline, but it remains to be seen if the major support at 1.2665 (low in early August) is within reach today. On the upside, any rebound is likely to remain below 1.2810 with minor resistance at 1.2760.”

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: “Yesterday (12 Nov, spot at 1.2870), we highlighted that the ‘Slight buildup in momentum indicates GBP is likely to edge lower.’ We also highlighted that ‘the 1.2800 level is expected to provide significant support.’ The anticipated support at 1.2800 did not materialise as GBP plunged through this level and reached 1.2719. Downward momentum has surged as well. The next technical target is at 1.2665, the low in early August. We will continue to expect GBP to weaken as long as 1.2845 (‘strong resistance’ level was at 1.2975 yesterday) is not breached.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD falls to near 0.7100 after slipping below 50-day EMA

AUD/USD depreciates after registering minor gains in the previous day, trading around 0.7120 during the Asian hours. The technical analysis of the daily chart shows the pair consolidating sideways within a rectangle pattern, as neither bulls nor bears gain control. The AUD/USD pair is holding a slight bearish tone however as it sits beneath both the nine-day and 50-day EMAs.

160.00: USD/JPY back near intervention territory after upbeat US jobs report

US Nonfarm Payrolls beat expectations by a wide margin in May, with 172K jobs added. The US Dollar rebounds after the release, helping USD/JPY recover from its intraday lows. Warnings from Japanese authorities continue to limit upside potential near the 160.00 threshold.

Gold weakens to three-month lows near $4,300

Gold faces increasing selling interest and approaches the area of three-month lows near the $4,300 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The precious metal’s decline comes as traders assess the stronger-than-expected NFP, while the bid bias in the Greenback and higher US Treasury yields also collaborate with the retracement.

Cardano hits five-year low even as Hoskinson clarifies "break" isn't an exit

Cardano (ADA) price is down 10% at press time on Friday, extending losses over 30% so far this week amid Charles Hoskinson's clarification that "break" isn't an exit.

Week ahead – Fed countdown begins amid US inflation data and geopolitical risks

Fed Chair Warsh’s first meeting approaches as key US inflation data could reshape expectations. Oil prices remain elevated as US-Iran talks continue; tariffs also return to the spotlight. ECB is expected to hike; will it be a one-off move or is July live?

The US economy defies the rules: 100 days into the Oil shock and the recession signal is still missing

More than three months after the start of the Iran war and the resulting disruption to global energy markets, the US economy continues to display remarkable resilience. The conflict has triggered a sharp rise in Oil prices, reignited inflationary pressures and fueled widespread concerns about a potential economic slowdown.