|

GBP/USD consolidates its losses above the 1.2500 mark following UK labor data

  • GBP/USD holds above 1.2500, lacks firm direction.
  • UK Unemployment Rate 3M to July came in at 4.3% from 4.2% in the previous reading.
  • Higher for longer interest rate narrative in the US boosts the US Dollar.
  • Investors will monitor the monthly UK GDP report and US Consumer Price Index (CPI) on Wednesday.

The GBP/USD pair consolidates its recent losses above the 1.2500 area during the early European trading hours on Tuesday. The major pair currently trades near 1.2515, up 0.04% on the day.

The latest data UK’s Office for National Statistics revealed that the UK Unemployment Rate in the three months to July came in at 4.3% from 4.2% in the previous reading, in line with the market consensus. Meanwhile, Employment Change for July declined by 207K from a 66K drop in the previous reading, worse than the estimated 185K drop. The Average Earnings Including Bonus in the three months to July rose by 8.5% versus 8.2% prior. Excluding bonus, the figure remains at 7.8%, as expected.

Catherine Mann, a Bank of England (BoE) policymaker, stated on Monday that it was too early for the central bank to pause interest rates and that it was preferable for the central bank to err on the side of raising them too high rather than halting too soon. The hawkish comment by BoE policymakers might limit the downside for the British Pound and act as a tailwind for GBP/USD.

Across the pond, the higher for longer interest rate narrative in the US lifts the US Dollar (USD) against the GBP The markets have been priced in the possibility of a 92% chance of a rate hold at the September meeting and a 42.4% chance of a rate hike at the November meeting, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.

US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said on Sunday that she is becoming more convinced that the US will be able to curb inflation without causing major impacts on the labor market. She added that every gauge of inflation is erasing and there was no massive wave of layoffs.

Market players will shift their focus to the monthly UK GDP report and Manufacturing Production for July due on Wednesday. Also, the highly anticipated US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data will be released in the North American session on Wednesday. Traders will find the trading opportunity around the GBP/USD pair.

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2508
Today Daily Change-0.0002
Today Daily Change %-0.02
Today daily open1.251
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2635
Daily SMA501.2757
Daily SMA1001.2655
Daily SMA2001.2428
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2548
Previous Daily Low1.2466
Previous Weekly High1.2643
Previous Weekly Low1.2446
Previous Monthly High1.2841
Previous Monthly Low1.2548
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2517
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2498
Daily Pivot Point S11.2468
Daily Pivot Point S21.2426
Daily Pivot Point S31.2386
Daily Pivot Point R11.255
Daily Pivot Point R21.259
Daily Pivot Point R31.2633

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

More from Lallalit Srijandorn
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).