|

GBP/USD clings to gains near 1.2900 handle, moves little after UK jobs data

   •  A subdued USD price action helps stage a modest rebound after the overnight slump.
   •  Mixed UK labour market report does little to provide any meaningful impetus.
   •  Brexit uncertainties might continue to keep a lid on any strong recovery move.

The GBP/USD pair held on to its goodish recovery gains near the 1.2900 handle and had a rather muted reaction to the mixed UK labour market report.

The pair stalled last week's sharp retracement slide from the 1.3175 region and caught some bids on Tuesday, snapping three consecutive days of losing streak. With investors still digesting the latest negative Brexit headlines, a subdued US Dollar price action was seen as one of the key factors behind the pair's initial rebound. 

The pair, however, failed to capitalize on the positive momentum and moved little after the latest UK employment details showed that average earnings data (excluding bonus) recorded a growth of 3.2% during the past three months to September. 

The reading was better than 3.1% growth expected and an upwardly revised 2.8% previous, albeit was largely negated by an unexpected rise in the UK unemployment rate, coming in at 4.1% 3m/y in September as compared to 4.0% previous and expected. 

Adding to the disappointment, the number of people claiming unemployment-related benefits jumped by 20.2K in October as against 4.3K rise anticipated and an upwardly revised reading of 23.2K in the previous month.

It would now be interesting to see if the pair is able to build on the positive momentum or runs into some fresh supply at higher levels amid persistent Brexit uncertainties, given that the likelihood of an EU Brexit summit might have been pushed to December 13-14.

Technical levels to watch

Any subsequent up-move is likely to confront fresh supply near the 1.2945-50 region, above which a bout of short-covering could lift the pair further towards reclaiming the key 1.30 psychological mark. On the flip side, the 1.2845 level now seems to protect the immediate downside, which if broken is likely to accelerate the fall further towards challenging the 1.2800 round figure mark.
 

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD weakens to two-week lows near 1.3520

GBP/USD trades on the back foot, returning to the low 1.3500s, or two-week troughs, on Tuesday. Cable’s bearish price action follows decent gains in the Greenback at the time when investors assess latest US data releases and the persistent uncertainty in the US-Iran crisis.

EUR/USD remains offered; breaks below 1.1600

EUR/USD now accelerates its daily correction, breaching below the key 1.1600 support level on Tuesday. The pair’s daily correction comes on the back of a decent bounce in the US Dollar despite disappointing US data releases and amid persistent geopolitical concerns.

Gold flirts with multi-week lows near $4,300

Gold accelerates its correction and recedes toward the key $4,300 mark per troy ounce on Tuesday. The yellow metal’s persistent decline comes in response to the solid performance of the US Dollar and a sharp move higher in US Treasury yields across the curve.

Bitcoin and Gold Outlook: Bitcoin broadly consolidates, Gold falls as US JOLTS Job Openings rise
Bitcoin (BTC) maintains sideways trading around the immediate $78,000 support on Tuesday. The Crypto King outlook shows signs of cooling after the recent rally above $81,000. However, its downside remains protected, with major moving averages providing support and steady capital inflows absorbing some selling pressure.
Global bond market sell off haunts markets

Global sovereign bonds are selling off as we start a new month. The UK is, unsurprisingly, taking the biggest hit. Two and 10-year yields rose by 10 basis points at one point on Tuesday, and are currently higher by 7 and 8bps respectively.

Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.