GBP/USD bulls testing bearish commitments near critcal daily resistance


  • GBP/USD bulls are in charge, moving on a critical daily resistance. 
  • The US dollar is under pressure as best of an immanent taper are dialled down by terrible ADP miss. 

At the time of writing, GBP/USD is trading at 1.3780 and between a low of 1.3731 and a high of 1.3798 having moved in on a critical level of dynamic daily resistance.

The US dollar is weak. 

US data has stripped the greenback of bullish bets midweek with a terrible miss in the ADP National Employment Report that has shown private payrolls rising by 374,000 in August, well short of the 613,000 forecasts. 

The report is the first of a series of three highly anticipated jobs data for the week and it's not a good start.

On Thursday, the weekly Initial Jobless Claims comes ahead of the most critical of the jobs data in the key government payrolls report for August, Nonfarm Payrolls.

The combination of the data will be weighed by investors as it could provide clues about the Federal Reserve's policy path.

The Fed's Chairman, Jerome Powell, sounded a more dovish tone at the Jackson Hole on Friday and the ADP report is pushing back expectations of a taper announcement at this month's Fed interest rate meeting. 

Wall Street has cheered the sentiment of loose money conditions for longer and the S&P 500 is on track to fresh all-time highs, higher by some 0.3% at the time of writing. 

Still, investors will be now focussing on Thursday's Jobless Claims and Friday's Nonfarm Payrolls which still have the potential to impress markets and support the prospects of a taper announcement in the near future. 

With that being said, Deutsche Bank US economists think that ''the pace of hiring will slow somewhat after the strong report in July.''

However, they said ''the +700k increase in nonfarm payrolls that they’re forecasting should be more than sufficient to keep the Fed on track to announce tapering at the November FOMC meeting.''

Additionally, they expect that jobs growth should see the Unemployment Rate fall to a fresh post-pandemic low of 5.2%.'

GBP/USD technical analysis

The pound is now on the verge of a significant test of the daily dynamic resistance that guards the 1.3880s next resistance.

A break of the support structure and then the recent lows near 1.3680 opens prospects of a test to the August swing lows of 1.3602.

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Feed news

Latest Forex News


Latest Forex News

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD hovers around 1.1150 ahead of German GDP, US inflation

EUR/USD is trading around 1.1150, attempting a bounce from 119-months lows of 1.1132. The US dollar eases from multi-month highs amid a return of risk appetite and firmer Treasury yields. US advance Q4 GDP beat estimates with 6.9% YoY. German Prelim GDP and US PCE inflation awaited.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD regains 1.3400 on Brexit optimism, US PCE eyed

GBP/USD is extending its rebound from five-week lows above 1.3400 amid an upbeat mood. UK Foreign Secretary Liz Truss eyes significant progress in Brexit talks by February. Report over UK PM Johnson’s future leadership deferred. US PCE inflation in focus. 

GBP/USD News

Gold rebounds ahead of US PCE inflation, not out of the woods yet Premium

Gold price attempts a bounce as the US dollar retreats ahead of US PCE inflation. After Wednesday’s $40 sell-off, gold price tumbled another $23 on Thursday, as bulls finally surrendered the $1,800 area to hit the lowest level in two weeks at $1,792. 

Gold News

Why Bitcoin has entered a new bear market

Bitcoin price has tumbled to a multi-month low below $33,000, as the leading cryptocurrency loses 50% of its value from its all-time high in November 2021. This marks the second-worst sell-off since the bear market that spanned from 2018 to 2020. 

Read more

US PCE Inflation Preview: Dollar rally has more legs to run Premium

Annual Core PCE inflation is forecast to rise to 4.8% in December from 4.7%. US Dollar Index surged to its highest level in more than a year on Fed's hawkish outlook.  Dollar is likely to continue to outperform its rivals in the near term.

Read more

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures