|

GBP/USD bulls reaching for a close above 1.2500

  • GBP/USD bulls reaching into resistance near 1.2500 but remain in control.
  • It has been a jittery week and the US Dollar has been pulled and pushed ahead of the Fed. 

GBP/USD is flat in Tokyo following an impressive rally on Thursday in a continuation of the short squeeze. The bulls reached the prior resistance around 1.2500 and sit there currently waiting for a fresh impetus sat not far off a 10-month peak.

financial market jitters have caused volatility this week as investors vacillated over whether U.S. banking issues and a standoff over the debt ceiling were overall supportive of the US Dollar. On Thursday, investors moved away from the Greenback ahead of the release of the first estimate of Q1 Gross Domestic Product and weekly initial jobless claims.

The data showed that while the US economy is forecast to have risen by 2% in Q1 after a 2.6% gain in the previous quarter, with personal consumption spending up 4.2% after a 1% gain to offset softer readings for other components, inflation remains sticky. The GDP Price Index for the US increased at an annualized rate of 4.0% in Q1, indicating inflation is stronger than initially expected. The core inflation measure lifted 4.9%.

Eyes on Fed May meeting

Meanwhile, ahead of next week's much anticipated Federal Open Market Committee meeting, Morgan Stanley (MS) published their views on what to expect.

MS said they expect the Fed to deliver a 25 basis points (bps) hike and communicate a conditional pause. The research also states that their rates strategists see scope for markets to extract a dovish message from the Fed at the upcoming FOMC meeting. That said, the MS highlights news about recent banking system stress as a challenge for the US central bank hawks. Still, the reports show that the investment bank believes a robust job market and high inflation support the May hike thesis. MS believes the May meeting "is likely to represent a turning point in the monetary policy tightening cycle."

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2496
Today Daily Change-0.0001
Today Daily Change %-0.01
Today daily open1.2497
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2439
Daily SMA501.224
Daily SMA1001.2209
Daily SMA2001.1937
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.25
Previous Daily Low1.2436
Previous Weekly High1.2474
Previous Weekly Low1.2354
Previous Monthly High1.2424
Previous Monthly Low1.1803
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2476
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2461
Daily Pivot Point S11.2456
Daily Pivot Point S21.2414
Daily Pivot Point S31.2392
Daily Pivot Point R11.2519
Daily Pivot Point R21.2541
Daily Pivot Point R31.2583

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD flirts with weekly highs in the Fed's aftermath

GBP/USD reversed early losses following the Federal Reserve decision to keep rates on hold and neared the 1.3360 level before shedding some ground. Focus shifts to Governor Kevin Warsh's speech, while the Bank of England will announce its monetary policy decision on Thursday.

EUR/USD extends rally pass 1.1450 on Fed's Warsh

EUR/USD trades at fresh weekly highs above 1.1450, following the Federal Reserve monetary policy decision to keep interest rates on hold. The statement showed policymakers remain confident in economic progress while blaming inflation on energy prices. The divided vote among officials put in doubt a September hike, leading to sharp US Dollar losses.

Gold  hovers around $4,100 as Fed decision hits the USD

Gold surged following the Federal Reserve's decision to keep the benchmark interest rate unchanged at 3.50%-3.75%. Policymakers noted that inflation remains elevated and that economic activity is expanding at a solid pace despite elevated uncertainty, spurring doubts about a rate hike in September. XAU/USD peaked above $4,100, now battling to retain the level.

No soft target: Warsh vows to return inflation to 2%
The Fed left interest rates unchanged at 3.50%-3.75%, but the decision carried a distinctly hawkish edge as three officials voted for an immediate 25-basis-point increase. Chair Kevin Warsh reinforced that message, insisting there was no tolerance for a softer inflation target and warning that the Fed would not hesitate to act.
How the CLARITY Act unlocks Wall Street’s tokenization pipeline
The United States (US) Digital Asset Market Clarity Act (CLARITY Act), awaiting a full Senate floor vote, promises to unlock Wall Street’s potential to tokenize financial assets, including equities, US Treasuries, private credit, real estate and commodities at a scale that could supercharge the real-world asset (RWA) market from the current $17 billion level to $5.5 trillion by 2030, according to
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.