|

GBP/USD bulls reaching for a close above 1.2500

  • GBP/USD bulls reaching into resistance near 1.2500 but remain in control.
  • It has been a jittery week and the US Dollar has been pulled and pushed ahead of the Fed. 

GBP/USD is flat in Tokyo following an impressive rally on Thursday in a continuation of the short squeeze. The bulls reached the prior resistance around 1.2500 and sit there currently waiting for a fresh impetus sat not far off a 10-month peak.

financial market jitters have caused volatility this week as investors vacillated over whether U.S. banking issues and a standoff over the debt ceiling were overall supportive of the US Dollar. On Thursday, investors moved away from the Greenback ahead of the release of the first estimate of Q1 Gross Domestic Product and weekly initial jobless claims.

The data showed that while the US economy is forecast to have risen by 2% in Q1 after a 2.6% gain in the previous quarter, with personal consumption spending up 4.2% after a 1% gain to offset softer readings for other components, inflation remains sticky. The GDP Price Index for the US increased at an annualized rate of 4.0% in Q1, indicating inflation is stronger than initially expected. The core inflation measure lifted 4.9%.

Eyes on Fed May meeting

Meanwhile, ahead of next week's much anticipated Federal Open Market Committee meeting, Morgan Stanley (MS) published their views on what to expect.

MS said they expect the Fed to deliver a 25 basis points (bps) hike and communicate a conditional pause. The research also states that their rates strategists see scope for markets to extract a dovish message from the Fed at the upcoming FOMC meeting. That said, the MS highlights news about recent banking system stress as a challenge for the US central bank hawks. Still, the reports show that the investment bank believes a robust job market and high inflation support the May hike thesis. MS believes the May meeting "is likely to represent a turning point in the monetary policy tightening cycle."

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2496
Today Daily Change-0.0001
Today Daily Change %-0.01
Today daily open1.2497
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2439
Daily SMA501.224
Daily SMA1001.2209
Daily SMA2001.1937
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.25
Previous Daily Low1.2436
Previous Weekly High1.2474
Previous Weekly Low1.2354
Previous Monthly High1.2424
Previous Monthly Low1.1803
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2476
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2461
Daily Pivot Point S11.2456
Daily Pivot Point S21.2414
Daily Pivot Point S31.2392
Daily Pivot Point R11.2519
Daily Pivot Point R21.2541
Daily Pivot Point R31.2583

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD extends slide below 1.1700

The EUR/USD pair nears its weekly low at around 1.1660 in the American session on Tuesday, retreating from the 1.1750 price zone tested earlier in the day. Cautiously optimistic markets support the US Dollar in the near term.

GBP/USD retreats from three-month-high, pierces 1.3500

GBP/USD extends its intraday slide and trades in the red just below 1.3500 after setting a new three-month-high near 1.3570. Ahead of this week's key employment data releases from the US, markets recover the good mood.

Gold extends its advance aims to recover hte $4,500 mark

Gold eases from the weekly high it set at $4,475 but clings to modest gains above $4,450 in the second half of the day on Tuesday. While a rebound in the US Dollar caps the yellow metal's upside, heightened political tensions allow XAU/USD to keep its footing.

Australia CPI likely to test RBA hawkishness

The Australian Bureau of Statistics will publish the Consumer Price Index data for November at 00:30 GMT on Wednesday. This is the second complete monthly CPI report, as the government continues to transition from the quarterly CPI to the monthly gauge as the primary measure of headline inflation.

Implications of US intervention in Venezuela

Events in Venezuela are top of mind for market participants, and while developments are associated with an elevated degree of uncertainty, we are not making any changes to our markets or economic forecasts as a result of the deposition of Nicolás Maduro. 

Cardano holds steady as bulls intensify push for breakout

Cardano rises above the 50-day EMA resistance amid a risk-on mood across the crypto market. The MACD upholds positive divergence, increasing the potential for a 20% breakout to $0.505.