GBP/USD: bulls looking to recover back to 1.3800, fade the rallies?


  • GBP/USD bulls bouncing off key support.
  • GBP/USD bulls looking for 1.3800 but mkt inclined to fade rallies.

Trading within a heavy trend to the downside on Brexit concerns, GBP/USD is catching a bid on dollar weakening off, ( after Federal Reserve chief Jerome Powell said he saw no signs of significant wage inflation as he testified before a Senate committee), and it is recovering from the session lows on a 30 pip bounce on the hourly sticks. Currently, GBP/USD is trading at 1.3746, down -0.14% on the day, having posted a daily high at 1.3781 and low at 1.3712.

GBP/USD has been the worst performing currency in the last couple of sessions on the back of hard Brexit fears where negotiations are proving problematic after the European Union presented a Brexit withdrawal draft that would create a hard border in Northern Ireland which was of course rejected by the UK officials, calling the proposal “absolutely unacceptable”.

UK PM May has been hosting EU's Tusk for lunch in London today. Headlines:

  • Good progress had been made in reaching agreement on an implementation after meeting with European Council President Donald Tusk.
  • The draft text put forward by the European Commission yesterday was unacceptable in meeting.
  • She briefed Tusk on speech she will deliver tomorrow on the ambitious economic partnership that she hopes to agree with the EU.

Despite robust US data, with PCE prices, the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation that increased to 0.3% over the month, (unchanged at 1.5% on year-to-year basis), and US initial claims plummetting to a 48-year low of 210k, the US Dollar has come off its 6-week highs of 90.90 in the DXY and currently down to 90.60 -0.1% at the time of writing during the second part of Powell’s testimony where little new detail have emerged with respect to rates other than the, "no signs of significant wage inflation," statement. GBP/USD was better earlier after the UK Feb mfg PMI 55.2 vs 55.0 f/c. where 1.3800 resistance was eyed, the level bulls need to get on top of. 

Fade rallies?

Analysts at Scotiabank noted that some signs of bargain hunting buying had emerged overnight but argued that the near-term trend lower remains well-entrenched in the market and we rather expect more losses to fall, with the effective break under the 40-day MA this week area targeting a fall towards the mid/upper 1.35s. 

GBP/USD levels

Analysts at Commerzbank explained that GBP/USD’s outlook is negative it has eroded a band of support at circa 1.3782/1.3763 (55-day ma, the 9th February low and a 4-month uptrend). "Below here lies the 1.3658 September peak and the 1.3452 2016-2018 uptrend. A close below here is needed to confirm the end of the medium term up move (favoured). Resistance is provided by the 20 day ma at 1.3936 and the resistance line at 1.4066. While capped here, the outlook stays negative," the analysts argued.

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

AUD/USD: Upside appears capped around 0.6800

AUD/USD: Upside appears capped around 0.6800

AUD/USD halted its multi-day recovery after faltering once again near the key 0.6800 mark on the back of a modest advance in the US Dollar and the bearish performance of the risk-linked galaxy.

AUD/USD News

EUR/USD keeps its constructive outlook in place so far

EUR/USD keeps its constructive outlook in place so far

EUR/USD printed new monthly highs north of 1.0900 the figure, although it met some renewed downside pressure on the back of the lacklustre recovery attempt in the Greenback ahead of key data releases on Tuesday.

EUR/USD News

Gold on its route to retest record highs at $2,450

Gold on its route to retest record highs at $2,450

Gold regains its traction and trades in positive territory slightly above $2,420 after dropping toward $2,400 at the beginning of the week. Investors await Fed Chairman Powell's appearance at the Economic Club of Washington.

Gold News

Ripple whales buy 300 million XRP in two days, altcoin holds steady above key support

Ripple whales buy 300 million XRP in two days, altcoin holds steady above key support

Ripple (XRP) noted the highest weekly gains in 2024 over the weekend as XRP holders celebrated the one-year anniversary of Judge Torres’ ruling in the SEC vs. Ripple lawsuit. XRP rallied to a peak of $0.5661 on Saturday, July 13. 

Read more

Failed assassination marks latest escalation in uncertainty

Failed assassination marks latest escalation in uncertainty

Following the shocking assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump, the nation is left wondering exactly why it happened as well as what may be coming next. There are already questions about whether the Secret Service, which answers to President Joe Biden, was incompetent or worse.

Read more

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures