|

GBP/USD breaks below 1.40 handle, 3-day lows ahead of Carney's speech

   •  Reviving USD demand prompts some fresh selling at higher levels. 
   •  GBP further weighed down by uncertainty over the upcoming Brexit talks.
   •  Carney’s speech eyed for some short-term trading impetus.

The GBP/USD pair's early European session rebound quickly ran out of steam near the 1.4030 level, with bears once again eyeing a break below the key 1.40 psychological mark. 

The pair found some support around sub-1.40 level during the early European session but struggled to gain any follow-through traction amid a modest pickup in the greenback demand. In fact, the key US Dollar Index was now seen building on Friday's goodish rebound from over 3-year lows and has been one of the key factors weighing on the major. 

Meanwhile, uncertainty surrounding the upcoming Brexit talks, expected to start in Brussels on Tuesday, was seen prompting traders to lighten their GBP bullish bets and further collaborated to the pair's follow-through retracement to a three-day low.

Currently trading around the 1.3985-80 region, the pair has now retreated over 160-pips from Friday's two-week high level of 1.3145 level, also marking a short-term descending trend-line resistance extending from January's post-Brexit highs through early Feb. tops. 

The US markets are closed on Monday in observance of President’s day holiday and hence, the key focus would remain on the BOE Governor Mark Carney speech, which might influence the GBP price dynamics and provide some short-term trading opportunities. 

Technical outlook

Valeria Bednarik, American Chief Analyst at FXStreet writes: “The pair presents a modest downward potential short-term, according to technical readings in the 4 hours chart, as it's developing below its 20 SMA, and the 50% retracement of its latest decline, while technical indicators head marginally lower, but within neutral territory, as multiple holiday's worldwide keep volumes at their lows.”
 

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD declines to near 1.3500 as US-Iran tensions rise

The GBP/USD pair declines to near 1.3500 during the early European trading hours on Wednesday. Ongoing tensions in the Middle East provide some support to a safe-haven currency such as the US Dollar against the British Pound. All eyes will be on the US August jobs report later on Friday.

EUR/USD weakens below 1.1600; further consolidation cannot be ruled out

The EUR/USD pair loses traction to near 1.1575 during the early European session. The US Dollar strengthens against the Euro amid hawkish Federal Reserve stance and escalating Middle East geopolitical tensions. Traders will keep an eye on the Eurozone Retail Sales and US employment data, which are due on Friday.

Gold: Hawkish Fed prospects drag further below $4,300

Gold extends its decline on Wednesday, facing enormous pressure due to surging United States Treasury Yields and rising oil prices. In Asian trade on Wednesday, 10-year US Treasury Yields hit a record high at 4.81%, the highest level seen since November 2023. In Wednesday’s session, investors will keep an eye on the US ADP Employment Change data for August.

WTI advances to mid-$90.00s, fresh high since July 24 amid escalating US-Iran tensions

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) – the benchmark US Crude Oil price – scales higher for the third straight day – also marking the fifth day of a positive move in the previous six – and climbs to a fresh high since July 24 during the Asian session on Wednesday.

Top 3 Price Prediction: BTC, ETH, XRP under pressure as momentum indicators flag early bearish signals

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple remain under pressure, with technical indicators suggesting early weakening momentum across the top three cryptocurrencies following massive gains in August. BTC shows early bearish signals, while ETH has extended its pullback after rejection near $2,500. Meanwhile, XRP is consolidating below key support, keeping the outlook cautious.

Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.