|

GBP/USD breaks below 1.40 handle, 3-day lows ahead of Carney's speech

   •  Reviving USD demand prompts some fresh selling at higher levels. 
   •  GBP further weighed down by uncertainty over the upcoming Brexit talks.
   •  Carney’s speech eyed for some short-term trading impetus.

The GBP/USD pair's early European session rebound quickly ran out of steam near the 1.4030 level, with bears once again eyeing a break below the key 1.40 psychological mark. 

The pair found some support around sub-1.40 level during the early European session but struggled to gain any follow-through traction amid a modest pickup in the greenback demand. In fact, the key US Dollar Index was now seen building on Friday's goodish rebound from over 3-year lows and has been one of the key factors weighing on the major. 

Meanwhile, uncertainty surrounding the upcoming Brexit talks, expected to start in Brussels on Tuesday, was seen prompting traders to lighten their GBP bullish bets and further collaborated to the pair's follow-through retracement to a three-day low.

Currently trading around the 1.3985-80 region, the pair has now retreated over 160-pips from Friday's two-week high level of 1.3145 level, also marking a short-term descending trend-line resistance extending from January's post-Brexit highs through early Feb. tops. 

The US markets are closed on Monday in observance of President’s day holiday and hence, the key focus would remain on the BOE Governor Mark Carney speech, which might influence the GBP price dynamics and provide some short-term trading opportunities. 

Technical outlook

Valeria Bednarik, American Chief Analyst at FXStreet writes: “The pair presents a modest downward potential short-term, according to technical readings in the 4 hours chart, as it's developing below its 20 SMA, and the 50% retracement of its latest decline, while technical indicators head marginally lower, but within neutral territory, as multiple holiday's worldwide keep volumes at their lows.”
 

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD: Bulls pray for a dovish Fed

EUR/USD has finally taken a breather after a pretty energetic climb. The pair broke above 1.1680 in the second half of the week, reaching its highest levels in around two months before running into some selling pressure. Even so, it has gained almost two cents from the late-November dip just below 1.1500 the figure.

GBP/USD trims gains, recedes toward 1.3320

GBP/USD is struggling to keep its daily advance, coming under fresh pressure and retreating to the 1.3320 zone following a mild bullish attempt in the Greenback. Even though US consumer sentiment surprised to the upside, the US Dollar isn’t getting much love, as traders are far more interested in what the Fed will say next week.

Gold: Bullish momentum fades despite broad USD weakness

After rising more than 3.5% in the previous week, Gold has entered a consolidation phase and fluctuated at around $4,200. The Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision and revised Summary of Economic Projections, also known as the dot plot, could trigger the next directional move in XAU/USD. 

Week ahead: Rate cut or market shock? The Fed decides

Fed rate cut widely expected; dot plot and overall meeting rhetoric also matter. Risk appetite is supported by Fed rate cut expectations; cryptos show signs of life. RBA, BoC and SNB also meet; chances of surprises are relatively low. Dollar weakness could linger; both the aussie and the yen best positioned to gain further. Gold and oil eye Ukraine-Russia developments; a peace deal remains elusive.

Week ahead – Rate cut or market shock? The Fed decides

Fed rate cut widely expected; dot plot and overall meeting rhetoric also matter. Risk appetite is supported by Fed rate cut expectations; cryptos show signs of life. RBA, BoC and SNB also meet; chances of surprises are relatively low.

Ripple faces persistent bear risks, shrugging off ETF inflows

Ripple is extending its decline for the second consecutive day, trading at $2.06 at the time of writing on Friday. Sentiment surrounding the cross-border remittance token continues to lag despite steady inflows into XRP spot ETFs.