|

GBP/USD bears attack 1.2350 as US Dollar traces firmer yields with amid cautious mood

  • GBP/USD began the key week on a back foot, stays pressured of late.
  • Market sentiment dwindles amid trader’s anxiety ahead of top-tier data/events.
  • Mixed concerns surrounding UK’s tax cuts, workers’ strikes keep bears hopeful even as BoE hawks flex muscles.
  • No major from Britain but US CB Consumer Confidence, Employment Cost Index may gain attention.

GBP/USD holds lower grounds after a two-day downtrend, making rounds to 1.2350 during early Tuesday morning in Asia. In doing so, the Cable pair takes clues from the broad US Dollar rebound as the market mood sours ahead of the key data/events. Adding strength to the quote’s from the key 1.2450 hurdle could be the economic problems and challenges for the UK policymakers.

At home, UK Treasury Secretary Jeremy Hunt’s indecision over the tax cuts and the economic complications due to the workers’ strikes weigh on the GBP/USD prices. Even so, the policymakers propose the fight to tame inflation as a cure to overcome the workers’ halting of workers and generate problems surrounding the same, including higher inflation and low productivity.

On the other hand, the US Dallas Fed manufacturing index for January jumped to -8.4 while adding 11.6 points and marking the highest reading since May 2022.

Not only the downbeat US data but firmer US Treasury bond yields and softer equities also weighed on the GBP/USD prices. That said, the US 10-year Treasury bond yields rose 2.4 basis points (bps) to 3.542% while Wall Street benchmarks closed in the red.

It’s worth noting that China’s return from a week-long Lunar New Year (LNY) holiday also couldn’t impress markets as traders received mixed signals surrounding the dragon nation’s economic transition during the holiday period, which in turn weighed on the risk appetite and the GBP/USD prices.

Having witnessed a sluggish start to the key week, mostly favoring the GBP/USD bears, the pair traders will pay attention to today’s US Conference Board Consumer Confidence gauge for January. Also important will be the fourth quarter (Q4) Employment Cost Index (ECI). That said, the Cable pair may witness a comparatively more active day than the previous one but a cautious mood can keep challenging the traders ahead of the monetary policy meeting of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Bank of England.

Technical analysis

The GBP/USD pair’s failure to cross the 1.2450 hurdle joins the clear downside break of the three-week-old ascending trend line, around 1.2370 by the press time, to direct the Cable bears towards the 21-DMA support near 1.2250.

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.2354
Today Daily Change-0.0037
Today Daily Change %-0.30%
Today daily open1.2391
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2226
Daily SMA501.2163
Daily SMA1001.1766
Daily SMA2001.1963
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2419
Previous Daily Low1.2346
Previous Weekly High1.2448
Previous Weekly Low1.2263
Previous Monthly High1.2447
Previous Monthly Low1.1992
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2374
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2391
Daily Pivot Point S11.2351
Daily Pivot Point S21.2312
Daily Pivot Point S31.2278
Daily Pivot Point R11.2425
Daily Pivot Point R21.2459
Daily Pivot Point R31.2498

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).