|

GBP/USD back to 1.30 ahead of another US NFP risk event

  • Another US NFP Friday sees thin markets and constrained liquidity ahead of the key reading.
  • Brexit hangs like a cloud over Pound traders, with little promise of answers to come in the near-term.

The GBP/USD is trading into the 1.3000 major handle heading into Friday's London market session after catching a bullish rebound on Thursday from the week's low of 1.2922.

Friday has a thin calendar on the offering for the GBP, with only the low-tier Halifax House Index at 07:30 GMT, with the quarter-on-year figure for September forecast to come in at 3.3%, with the previous quarter's reading coming in at 3.7%.

Brexit continues to be the major driver behind the Pound, and leaders from both the European Union and Ireland are strongly urging the UK to stop wasting time and begin finding real-world, workable solutions. Meanwhile, UK Prime Minister Theresa May continues to try and salvage her belly-up Chequers proposals for Brexit, an outline that has been soundly rejected already by both EU leaders in Brussels and Conservative Brexiteers that populate May's own party.

It's another Non-Farm Payrolls Friday in the upcoming US session, and markets will be capping off a volume-constrained week with another reading of the mega-jobs report from the US, with median market forecasts calling for a headline reading of 185 thousand jobs, a slight pullback from the previous month's 201 thousand. Buried further within the NFP report, Average Hourly Earnings are also expected to see a hiccup, expected to print at 2.8% versus the previous 2.9%. The NFP action will kick off at 12:30 GMT.

GBP/USD levels to watch

The Sterling is struggling to develop real momentum in either direction, as Brexit headlines continue to hang the GBP out to dry, and as noted by FXStreet's own Valeria Bednarik, "the 4 hours chart shows that the pair was unable to surpass a flat 200 EMA, but so far holds above an also directionless 20 SMA. The Momentum indicator in the mentioned chart maintains its upward slope within positive territory, but the RSI indicator is currently easing around its mid-line, rather limiting the upward potential than favoring a new leg lower. Renewed selling interest below 1.2960, however, should open doors for a steeper decline toward a major static support at around 1.2880."

Support levels: 1.2960 1.2920 1.2880                                                

Resistance levels: 1.3040 1.3085 1.3120

Author

Joshua Gibson

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

More from Joshua Gibson
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD edges higher as hot CPI inflation and hawkish RBA lift rate hike bets

The AUD/USD pair gathers strength to near 0.7035 during the Asian trading hours on Friday. The Australian Dollar edges higher against the US Dollar as hotter Australian CPI inflation data has bolstered expectations of Reserve Bank of Australia rate hikes.

Japanese Yen stays resilient after BoJ maintains status quo

The Japanese Yen stays resilient against its major rivals on Friday, with USD/JPY trading in negative territory below 157.50. The Bank of Japan (BoJ) decided to leave monetary policy settings unchanged at the October meeting, as expected. In the post-meeting press conference, BoJ Governor Ueda reiterated that they will continue to raise the policy rate and adjust the degree of monetary easing in reponse to economic activity and prices.

Gold bears retain control below $4,000 as hawkish Fed bets back further losses

Gold extends its intraday breakdown momentum below the $4,000 psychological mark through the early European session on Friday, eyeing the monthly swing low amid hawkish US Federal Reserve expectations. US macro data on Thursday pointed to resilient economic growth and persistent price pressures, solidifying bets of an imminent Fed rate hike in December. This is seen as undermining the non-yielding bullion for the second straight day and backing the case for further depreciation.

The hawkish Fed can't lift the US Dollar anymore
About three more Federal Reserve hikes are already priced in, and the central banks behind the Euro, Pound, Yen and Loonie are raising rates or about to. That leaves the US Dollar Index with little to gain if the Fed keeps leaning toward higher rates.
Binance hack shakes crypto, but XRP pullback may not be so bearish
Crypto markets were hit by a big headline overnight. Binance confirmed a security incident in which a compromised engineer's laptop led to unauthorized withdrawals, with an estimated impact of around $6.3 billion. About $3 billion has been frozen so far, Binance says it will cover the losses, and withdrawals were paused while security checks are completed.
A hot US economy is supposed to sink Gold. It didn't. Here's why
Gold (XAU/USD) remains under pressure near $4,000, as stronger-than-expected United States (US) economic data reinforce expectations of another Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hike in December. Economic growth is accelerating, inflation remains elevated, and borrowing costs could rise further.