|

GBP/USD: Any decline may be limited to a retest of the 1.3460 level – UOB Group

Further Pound Sterling (GBP) weakness is not ruled out against US Dollar (USD); oversold conditions suggest any decline may be limited to a retest of the 1.3460 level. In the longer run, tentative increase in downward momentum suggests GBP is likely to trade with a downward bias toward 1.3430, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.

GBP is likely to trade with a downward bias toward 1.3430

24-HOUR VIEW: "Our view for GBP to trade in a range yesterday was incorrect, as it plunged to 1.3458, rebounding to close at 1.3498, down by 0.38%. While further GBP weakness is not ruled out today, oversold conditions suggest that any decline may be limited to a retest of the 1.3460 level. The next support at 1.3420 is unlikely to come under threat. Resistance levels are at 1.3525 and 1.3555."

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: "We turned positive on GBP early last week. In our latest narrative from two days ago (09 Jun, spot at 1.3540), we highlighted that 'as long as 1.3500 is not breached, there is a chance for GBP to retest 1.3615 before the risk of a more sustained and sizeable pullback increases.' Yesterday, GBP broke below 1.3500, reaching a low of 1.3458. Upward momentum has faded, and there has been a tentative increase in downward momentum. From here, GBP is likely to trade with a downward bias toward 1.3420. A clear break of this level could potentially trigger a deeper decline. The downward bias will remain intact as long as the ‘strong resistance’ level at 1.3580 is not breached."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds losses near 1.1850 as US, China holidays keep trade muted

EUR/USD opens the week on a softer note, trading near 1.1860 during the Asian session on Monday. Activity is likely to remain muted, with United States markets closed for the Presidents’ Day holiday, while Mainland China is also shut for the week-long Lunar New Year break.

GBP/USD remains well bid around 1.3650

GBP/USD maintains its upside momentum in place, hovering around daily highs near 1.3650 and setting aside part of the recent three-day drop. Cable’s improved sentiment comes on the back of the Greenback’s  irresolute price action, while recent hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill also collaborate with the uptick.

Gold holds above $5,000 as bears seem hesitant amid Fed rate cut bets

Gold edges lower at the start of a new week, though it defends the $5,000 psychological mark through the Asian session. The underlying bullish sentiment is seen acting as a headwind for the bullion. However, bets for more rate cuts by the Fed, bolstered by Friday's softer US CPI, keep the US Dollar bulls on the defensive and continue to support the non-yielding yellow metal as the focus now shifts to FOMC Minutes on Wednesday.

Week ahead: Data blitz, Fed Minutes and RBNZ decision in the spotlight

The US jobs report for January, which was delayed slightly, didn’t do the dovish Fed bets any favours, as expectations of a soft print did not materialize, confounding the raft of weak job indicators seen in the prior week.

Global inflation watch: Signs of cooling services inflation

Realized inflation landed close to expectations in January, as negative base effects weighed on the annual rates. Remaining sticky inflation is largely explained by services, while tariff-driven goods inflation remains limited even in the US.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP potential bottom could be in sight

Ripple edges up above the intraday low of $1.35 at the time of writing on Friday amid mixed price actions across the crypto market. The remittance token failed to hold support at $1.40 the previous day, reflecting risk-off sentiment amid a decline in retail and institutional sentiment.