|

GBP/JPY snaps losing streak as Yen weakens across the board

  • The British Pound rises nearly 1% against the Japanese Yen, snapping a three-day losing streak.
  • The Japanese Yen weakens across the board, with all major G10 currencies posting gains against it.
  • The 20-day SMA near 196.62 provides dynamic support, with the broader uptrend intact above 195.00.

The British Pound (GBP) gains ground against the Japanese Yen (JPY) on Thursday, supported by stronger-than-expected US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data, which lifted global risk sentiment and weighed on traditional safe-haven currency.

The GBP/JPY cross snaps a three-day losing streak and surges nearly 1% on the day. The pair has now erased all the losses incurred earlier in the week, currently hovering around the 198.00 mark during the American trading session.

The broad-based weakness in Yen remains a key driver of GBP/JPY strength. The Japanese currency extended losses across the board on Thursday.

The British Pound also draws some support after Prime Minister Keir Starmer, earlier in the day, defended Chancellor Rachel Reeves amid speculation about her future, affirming she would remain Chancellor “for a very long time to come.” This reassurance helped ease market concerns that a potential replacement might pursue a looser fiscal stance with increased borrowing. Despite recent turbulence surrounding the welfare reform bill and internal party rebellion, markets have taken comfort in Reeves’ firm commitment to fiscal responsibility. Her refusal to abandon key budget targets, even after making concessions, has helped stabilize bond markets and reinforce investor confidence in the UK’s economic management.

Adding to the bullish momentum in the Pound, recent comments from Bank of England (BoE) policymaker Alan Taylor further reinforced expectations of a cautious and measured policy path ahead. Taylor warned that the UK’s economic soft landing is at risk due to weakening demand, but argued against aggressive rate cuts, noting, “I don’t think bigger cuts are necessarily needed or desirable.” He instead advocated for a gradual easing cycle, suggesting five rate cuts this year might be warranted if downside risks persist. Markets interpreted his comments as a signal that the BoE remains focused on balancing inflation control with support for growth, another factor supporting the Pound’s relative resilience.

GBP/JPY Daily chart

From a technical standpoint, GBP/JPY is staging a solid rebound after testing the lower boundary of its ascending channel, which has guided price action since April. The pair is now approaching the upper Bollinger Band near 198.88, indicating potential for further upside if momentum remains strong. A daily close above 198.88 could expose the psychologically important 200.00 level.

The 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), which also serves as the middle Bollinger Band, is offering dynamic support near 196.62, reinforcing the pair’s bullish bias. The broader uptrend remains intact as long as GBP/JPY holds above the key 195.00 psychological region, which closely aligns with ascending channel support. A daily close below this confluence zone could expose the pair to further downside toward the lower Bollinger Band at 194.36.

Momentum indicators also favor the bulls. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has turned higher and is currently holding above 58, while the Rate of Change (ROC) remains in positive territory at 0.76, reflecting steady upside momentum following the recent pullback.

Author

Vishal Chaturvedi

I am a macro-focused research analyst with over four years of experience covering forex and commodities market. I enjoy breaking down complex economic trends and turning them into clear, actionable insights that help traders stay ahead of the curve.

More from Vishal Chaturvedi
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles to extend advance above 1.1800

The EUR/USD pair posts a fresh weekly low near 1.1740 during the Asian trading session on Wednesday. The major currency pair is under pressure as the US Dollar edges higher despite Federal Open Market Committee minutes of the December policy meeting, released on Tuesday, showing that most policymakers stressed the need for further interest rate cuts.

GBP/USD tests 1.3450 support after moving below nine-day EMA

GBP/USD remains subdued for the second consecutive day, trading around 1.3460 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates a weakening of a bullish bias as the pair is positioned slightly below the lower boundary of the ascending channel pattern.

Gold jumps on US rate cut prospects, safe-haven demand

Gold price extends the rally above $4,350 during the early European trading hours on Wednesday. Gold's price has surged about 65% this year and is set to record its biggest annual gains since 1979. The rally in the precious metal is bolstered by the prospect of further US interest rate cuts in 2026. Lower interest rates could reduce the opportunity cost of holding Gold, supporting the non-yielding precious metal.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).