|

GBP/JPY snaps losing streak as Yen weakens across the board

  • The British Pound rises nearly 1% against the Japanese Yen, snapping a three-day losing streak.
  • The Japanese Yen weakens across the board, with all major G10 currencies posting gains against it.
  • The 20-day SMA near 196.62 provides dynamic support, with the broader uptrend intact above 195.00.

The British Pound (GBP) gains ground against the Japanese Yen (JPY) on Thursday, supported by stronger-than-expected US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data, which lifted global risk sentiment and weighed on traditional safe-haven currency.

The GBP/JPY cross snaps a three-day losing streak and surges nearly 1% on the day. The pair has now erased all the losses incurred earlier in the week, currently hovering around the 198.00 mark during the American trading session.

The broad-based weakness in Yen remains a key driver of GBP/JPY strength. The Japanese currency extended losses across the board on Thursday.

The British Pound also draws some support after Prime Minister Keir Starmer, earlier in the day, defended Chancellor Rachel Reeves amid speculation about her future, affirming she would remain Chancellor “for a very long time to come.” This reassurance helped ease market concerns that a potential replacement might pursue a looser fiscal stance with increased borrowing. Despite recent turbulence surrounding the welfare reform bill and internal party rebellion, markets have taken comfort in Reeves’ firm commitment to fiscal responsibility. Her refusal to abandon key budget targets, even after making concessions, has helped stabilize bond markets and reinforce investor confidence in the UK’s economic management.

Adding to the bullish momentum in the Pound, recent comments from Bank of England (BoE) policymaker Alan Taylor further reinforced expectations of a cautious and measured policy path ahead. Taylor warned that the UK’s economic soft landing is at risk due to weakening demand, but argued against aggressive rate cuts, noting, “I don’t think bigger cuts are necessarily needed or desirable.” He instead advocated for a gradual easing cycle, suggesting five rate cuts this year might be warranted if downside risks persist. Markets interpreted his comments as a signal that the BoE remains focused on balancing inflation control with support for growth, another factor supporting the Pound’s relative resilience.

GBP/JPY Daily chart

From a technical standpoint, GBP/JPY is staging a solid rebound after testing the lower boundary of its ascending channel, which has guided price action since April. The pair is now approaching the upper Bollinger Band near 198.88, indicating potential for further upside if momentum remains strong. A daily close above 198.88 could expose the psychologically important 200.00 level.

The 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), which also serves as the middle Bollinger Band, is offering dynamic support near 196.62, reinforcing the pair’s bullish bias. The broader uptrend remains intact as long as GBP/JPY holds above the key 195.00 psychological region, which closely aligns with ascending channel support. A daily close below this confluence zone could expose the pair to further downside toward the lower Bollinger Band at 194.36.

Momentum indicators also favor the bulls. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has turned higher and is currently holding above 58, while the Rate of Change (ROC) remains in positive territory at 0.76, reflecting steady upside momentum following the recent pullback.

Author

Vishal Chaturvedi

I am a macro-focused research analyst with over four years of experience covering forex and commodities market. I enjoy breaking down complex economic trends and turning them into clear, actionable insights that help traders stay ahead of the curve.

More from Vishal Chaturvedi
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD trims intraday gains, stays flat around 1.1630

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel on Monday. Investors refrain from taking large positions ahead of this week's critical Fed policy meeting, allowing the pair to stay in a consolidation phase following two consecutive weeks of bullish action. US Dollar gains ground as risk aversion kicks in. 

GBP/USD edges lower toward 1.3300 as markets turn cautious

GBP/USD corrects lower toward 1.3300 on Monday after posting gains in the previous week. The markets adopt a cautious stance ahead of the highly-anticipated Fed meeting, making it difficult for the pair to gather bullish momentum. 

Gold remains seases below $4,200 as markets gear up for Fed

Gold turned south after Wall Street's opening, trading south of $4,200. The US Dollar finds additional legs on a souring mood on Monday as market participants prepare for the upcoming Fed meeting, which will provide key insights into the short-term policy outlook.

RBA expected to hold interest rate amid rising inflation, steady economic growth

The Reserve Bank of Australia is on track to leave the Official Cash Rate unadjusted at 3.6%, following the conclusion of its December monetary policy meeting on Tuesday. The decision will be announced at 03:30 GMT, accompanied by the Monetary Policy Statement. RBA Governor Michele Bullock’s press conference will follow at 04:30 GMT.

The Silver disconnection is real

Silver just hit a new all-time high. Neither did gold, nor mining stocks. They all reversed on an intraday basis, but silver’s move to new highs makes it still bullish overall, while the almost complete reversals in gold and miners make the latter technically bearish.

Top 3 Price Predictions: Bitcoin and Ethereum aim for breakouts as Ripple holds at $2

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple record a minor recovery on Monday, starting the week on a positive note. The retail demand for major cryptocurrencies remains strong despite outflows from Bitcoin and Ethereum Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs).