|

GBP/JPY rises to multi-year highs at 175.30 amid dovish BoJ stance

  • GBP/JPY closes a four-consecutive week of gains soaring to its highest level since February 2016.
  • BoJ is expected to stick with yield curve control.
  • Yield divergence between gilts and Japanese bonds favours the GBP.


GBP/JPY has soared to its highest level since February 2016, closing a four-consecutive week of gains. This surge comes in the wake of a dovish stance taken by the Bank of Japan (BOJ), which is expected to stick with its yield curve control policy to keep long-term interest rates low. The yield divergence between UK gilts and Japanese bonds has further favoured the British pound adding to the momentum of the GBP/JPY pair.


BoJ dovish stance weight on the Yen

Bank of Japan (BoJ) officials, acknowledged that inflation has surpassed initial projections, which may result in upward revisions to the bank's inflation forecasts in the upcoming macroeconomic assessments. Despite this, the BoJ maintains a cautious stance and does not express confidence in achieving the sustainable 2% inflation target. Consequently, policymakers emphasize the ongoing need for continued monetary stimulus to support and stabilize the prevailing economic conditions.

On the other hand, rising yields amid the expectations of a rate hike from 4.5% to 4.75% on June 22 by the Bank of England (BoE) seems to be responsible for the GBP/JPY upwards momentum. In that sense, the British yields increased across the board with the 2.5-year yields seeing more than 1% increases on the session.

GBP/JPY levels to watch

Both the weekly and daily charts suggest that the bulls are clearly in charge of the short term. Specifically, on the daily chart, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) are both showing strength standing in positive territory, and the pair trades above its main moving averages indicating that the buyers are in control.

In case the GBP/JPY continues to gain traction, the following resistance line up at the 175.50 zone followed then by the 176.00 zone and the 176.30 level. On the other hand, in case of a technical correction, support levels line up at the 174.40 zone and below the psychological mark at 174.00 and the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 172.90.

GBP/JPY daily chart

GBP/JPY

Overview
Today last price175.24
Today Daily Change0.75
Today Daily Change %0.43
Today daily open174.49
 
Trends
Daily SMA20172.65
Daily SMA50169.4
Daily SMA100165.41
Daily SMA200164.72
 
Levels
Previous Daily High174.52
Previous Daily Low173.91
Previous Weekly High174.68
Previous Weekly Low172.53
Previous Monthly High174.28
Previous Monthly Low167.84
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%174.29
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%174.14
Daily Pivot Point S1174.09
Daily Pivot Point S2173.7
Daily Pivot Point S3173.48
Daily Pivot Point R1174.71
Daily Pivot Point R2174.92
Daily Pivot Point R3175.32

Author

Patricio Martín

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

More from Patricio Martín
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD sticks to red near 1.3650, eyes on Iran sanctions

GBP/USD trades with a negative bias around mid-1.3600s at the start of a new week on Monday. The US Dollar recovers ground due to uncertainty over potential US economic sanctions on Iran, leaving the risk-sensitive British Pound on the backfoot.

EUR/USD stays defensive below 1.1700 amid cautious markets

EUR/USD is trading defensively below 1.1700 in Monday's European trading. The pair struggles as the US Dollar attempts a tepid recovery following last week's US Treasury bond buyback plan-led sell-off. Markets remain unnerved amid US threats to impose economic sanctions on Iran, the details of which are expected to be announced later in the day.

Gold sits at three-month highs near $4,650

Gold is sitting close to its highest level in three months, near $4,650, in the European session on Monday. The precious metal capitalizes on persistent US Dollar weakness, following the US Treasury's buyback plan amid fresh US-Canada trade tensions. Traders await Iran sanction details for further impetus.

Here's what I learned trading meme coins
I’ve been trading cryptocurrencies for the past seven years, with meme coins becoming one of the most exciting and implacable parts of my experience. I love them because they represent internet culture and community sentiment, and, let’s be honest, extreme speculation. Newly launched meme coins were especially tempting: get in early enough, I thought, and a small bet could turn into a huge return.
The week ahead: Jackson Hole and Nvidia results to take focus away from Trump
We start the week with the focus squarely on the US. Rising Treasury yields, the Jackson Hole Symposium, inflation and GDP data, along with tariff risks, will dominate market action in the coming days.
$20 billion offered, $2 billion taken: Why Treasury doubled its buyback cap

The US Treasury moved off its own calendar on Wednesday, and that is the part worth sitting with. At 12:32 GMT, the department said it would at least double the size of liquidity support buyback operations in the 10-year to 20-year and 20-year to 30-year sectors, lifting the maximum from $2 billion per operation to at least $4 billion, effective September 9 and running to November 4.