|

GBP/JPY retreats from 1-month tops, focus remains on BoE

   •  Mixed UK retail sales data prompts some GBP weakness.
   •  Reviving safe-haven demand adds to the downward pressure.
   •  Focus remains on the latest BoE monetary policy update.

The GBP/JPY cross snapped three consecutive days of winning streak and eroded a major part of previous session's up-move to one-month tops. 

Despite better-than-expected headline UK retail sales data, showing m-o-m growth of 0.8%, the core figures pointed to a further slowdown in spending and prompted some GBP weakness on Thursday. 

This coupled with the prevalent risk-off mood underpinned the Japanese Yen's safe-haven demand and collaborated to the pair's weaker tone through the mid-European session. 

The downside, however, remained cushioned as investors seemed reluctant to place any aggressive bets and preferred to wait on the sideline ahead of the latest BoE monetary policy update. 

With a Brexit transition deal already in place, the accompanying rate statement could point to a hawkish tilt and trigger a fresh leg of bullish momentum around the British Pound. Hence, any further downside seems to be limited and any dip is more likely to be quickly bought into.

Technical levels to watch

Immediate support is pegged near the 149.00-148.80 region, below which the fall could get extended towards retesting the very important 200-day SMA support near the 148.00 handle.

On the upside, the key 150.00 psychological mark seems to act as an immediate resistance, which if cleared decisively now seems to assist the cross to aim towards reclaiming the 151.00 round figure mark.
 

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady above 1.1750 as traders await FOMC Minutes

The EUR/USD pair holds steady near 1.1770 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. Traders continue to price in the prospect of further rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve in 2026, following the 25-basis-point rate reduction delivered at the December meeting. The release of the Federal Open Market Committee Minutes will be in the spotlight later on Tuesday.

GBP/USD finds key support near 1.35 despite year-end grind

GBP/USD remains bolstered on the high end as markets grind through the last trading week of the year. Cable caught a bullish tilt to keep price action on the high side of the 1.3500 handle, though year-end holiday volumes are unlikely to see significant progress in either direction as 2025 draws to a close.

Gold rebounds to near $4,350 after Monday's 4+% correction

Gold is bouncing to near $4,350 early Tuesday, helped by renewed US Dollar weakness and a dismal mood. Gold was hit sharply by profit-taking on Monday during US trading hours and retreated towards $4,300, where buyers reappeared.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries, adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).