|

GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Bulls are testing resistance at 200.30 area

  • Pound bulls have encountered resistance above the 200.00 level in their rally against the Yen.
  • The JPY remains on its back foot with traders awaiting Tokyo CPI data.
  • GBP/JPY is attempting to overcome a reverse trendline at 200.30.

The British Pound is trading higher against the Japanese Yen for the fourth consecutive day. The pair bounced up from the 199.20 area last week and has returned above the 200.00 level; however, a broken trendline resistance in the vicinity of 200.30 is currently holding bulls back for now.

The pound has been drawing support from a broad-based Yen weakness this week. The minutes of the latest BoJ meeting have failed to provide any significant support to the Yen, as investors await Tokyo CPI data, due later today, with the market split about the chances of a rate hike in October.

GBP/JPY 4-Hour Chart

GBP/JPY Chart

The technical picture is positive. Indicators on t-hour chats show a strong bullish momentum, but the pair would need to return above the bottom of the broken channel, at 200.30, to extend its recovery towards the September 19 high, at 200.50, and the year-to-date high, at 201.27

To the downside, the intra-day low, near 199.90, is likely to challenge a potential bearish reaction. Below here, the 199.20 area, which contained downside attempts on September 18 and 23, will come into focus. Further down, the 78.6% retracement of the September rally meets the September 5 low at 168.65.

Japanese Yen Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Japanese Yen (JPY) against listed major currencies today. Japanese Yen was the strongest against the Swiss Franc.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-0.06%-0.08%-0.15%0.01%-0.13%-0.12%0.04%
EUR0.06%-0.04%-0.12%0.06%-0.05%-0.07%0.10%
GBP0.08%0.04%-0.06%0.10%-0.04%-0.01%0.17%
JPY0.15%0.12%0.06%0.14%-0.00%0.19%0.20%
CAD-0.01%-0.06%-0.10%-0.14%-0.12%-0.13%0.07%
AUD0.13%0.05%0.04%0.00%0.12%0.30%0.16%
NZD0.12%0.07%0.00%-0.19%0.13%-0.30%-0.09%
CHF-0.04%-0.10%-0.17%-0.20%-0.07%-0.16%0.09%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Japanese Yen from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent JPY (base)/USD (quote).

encountered resistance above the 200.00 level in

Author

Guillermo Alcala

Graduated in Communication Sciences at the Universidad del Pais Vasco and Universiteit van Amsterdam, Guillermo has been working as financial news editor and copywriter in diverse Forex-related firms, like FXStreet and Kantox.

More from Guillermo Alcala
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD gathers strength to near 1.3300; NFP data loom

The GBP/USD pair gains traction to near 1.3290 during the Asian trading hours on Thursday. The British Pound strengthens against the US Dollar as the UK's likely next Prime Minister, Andy Burnham, has eased market concerns by pledging strict fiscal discipline. The US Nonfarm Payrolls data for June will take center stage later on Thursday.


EUR/USD approaches 1.1400 as bearish flag remains in play

The EUR/USD pair ticks higher during the Asian session though it lacks bullish conviction as traders keenly await the release of the crucial US Nonfarm Payrolls report. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.1385 area and remain close to the weekly low, touched on Wednesday.

Gold trades with positive bias; Fed hike bets cap gains ahead of US NFP

Gold attracts fresh buyers during the Asian session, following the previous day's volatile price swings and a late pullback from an over one-week high. The US Dollar edges lower on the back of Wednesday's softer-than-expected US macro data and turns out to be a key factor supporting the commodity for the second consecutive day.

Ripple and Stellar build on recovery as traders turn cautiously bullish

Ripple and Stellar extend recovery as improving market sentiment supports a rebound. XRP trades above $1.05 while XLM climbs past $0.199. Traders should remain cautious, as mixed on-chain and derivatives data indicate a modest bullish bias, and further upside may depend on sustained buying momentum.

A preview of NFP

The number is of much greater importance than usual as the Fed moves away from a forecasting framework and towards a current-data/rebuilding-credibility framework.  While I have been pooh-poohing Warsh’s hawkish opener, I am also open to the idea that if he is serious about rebuilding credibility, he can find enough hawkish votes, and if June NFP is another hot one—July FOMC could be in play. 

Just like Fed, is BoJ’s independence under threat?

When talking about central bank independence, most of the focus has been on Donald Trump’s pressure on the Federal Reserve. But a similar story, a quieter one for now, seems to be happening on the other side of the Pacific: Japan’s government may be testing the Bank of Japan’s independence.