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GBP/JPY Price Analysis: Retreats from daily high as bearish-engulfing pattern emerge

  • Following the US inflation data release, GBP/JPY sinks more than 100 pips to the 169.00 area.
  • A bearish technical outlook emerges as RSI aims lower and the 3-day RoC turns negative.

The GBP/JPY slips after hitting a daily high of 171.17 after safe-haven peers advanced following the release of US inflation data. The GBP/JPY slumped more than 100 pips toward the 169.00 handle as traders anticipate another interest rate hike from the Bank of England (BoE) as it scrambles to curb inflation from around 10%.

GBP/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook

After snapping three days of gains, the GBP/JPY dropped toward the 169.50 region as the cross-currency pair formed a bearish-engulfing candle pattern. Although the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator remains in bullish territory, it continues to aim lower, suggesting buyers are losing steam ahead of the BoE’s decision. The 3-day Rate of Change (RoC) turned negative, allowing sellers to enter new positions.

If GBP/JPY drops below the 169.00 figure, the next support would be the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 168.33, followed by the April 19 high at 167.97. Once cleared, the GBP/JPY next demand area would be the December 20 high turned support at 167.01.

On the flip side, if GBP/JPY reclaimed the 170.00 figure, the next resistance would be May 9 daily high at 170.71. A breach of the latter will expose the May 10 daily high of 171.17, which once cleared, could pave the way to test the YTD high at 172.13.

GBP/JPY Price Action – Daily Chart

GBP/JPY Daily chart

GBP/JPY

Overview
Today last price169.63
Today Daily Change-1.00
Today Daily Change %-0.59
Today daily open170.63
 
Trends
Daily SMA20168.16
Daily SMA50164.95
Daily SMA100162.53
Daily SMA200163.6
 
Levels
Previous Daily High170.72
Previous Daily Low169.86
Previous Weekly High172.34
Previous Weekly Low168.06
Previous Monthly High171.18
Previous Monthly Low162.78
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%170.39
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%170.19
Daily Pivot Point S1170.09
Daily Pivot Point S2169.55
Daily Pivot Point S3169.23
Daily Pivot Point R1170.94
Daily Pivot Point R2171.26
Daily Pivot Point R3171.8

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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