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GBP/JPY Price Analysis: Monday’s 300 pips plunge paves the way toward 164.00

  • Deteriorated market sentiment, weighed on the Pound Sterling, bolstered the Japanese Yen.
  • GBP/JPY’s failure to hold around 168.00 exacerbated a fall to 165.00.

The Pound Sterling (GBP) extends its losses against the Japanese Yen (JPY) amid a risk-off impulse as traders get to the sidelines ahead of the Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell’s speech on Wednesday. In the FX space, risk-perceived currencies like the GBP were defensive against the safe-haven status of the JPY. At the time of writing, the GBP/JPY is trading at 165.71.

GBP/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook

From a daily chart perspective, the GBP/JPY plummeted 300 pips on Monday towards the 165.00 region, but the pair attempted to trim some of its losses. Albeit the GBP/JPY printed a daily high of 166.67, the cross dived to fresh weekly lows at 165.52. Even though the cross’s path of least resistance in the near term is downwards, the GBP/JPY will face solid support levels at the 50 and 100-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) at 165.34 and 164.27, respectively. Once those two support levels are broken, that could pave the way to test November’s low at 163.03.

The GBP/JPY 4-hour chart portrays the pair in a downtrend, trading within the boundaries of a descending channel, with a 150 pip width. And due to the proximity of GBP/JPY’s price action to the channel’s top trendline, a correction downwards is suggested. Further cementing the case is the Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) above the spot price, with a bearish slope, alongside the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at bearish territory.

Therefore, the GBP/JPY first support would be the S1 daily pivot at 165.21. Break below will expose the 165.00 psychological level, followed by the S2 pivot at 164.83, ahead of the bottom-trendline of the descending channel at 164.00.

GBP/JPY Key Technical Levels

GBP/JPY

Overview
Today last price165.75
Today Daily Change-0.26
Today Daily Change %-0.16
Today daily open166.01
 
Trends
Daily SMA20166.92
Daily SMA50165.27
Daily SMA100164.27
Daily SMA200162.68
 
Levels
Previous Daily High168.29
Previous Daily Low165.85
Previous Weekly High169.04
Previous Weekly Low166.11
Previous Monthly High172.14
Previous Monthly Low159.73
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%166.78
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%167.36
Daily Pivot Point S1165.14
Daily Pivot Point S2164.27
Daily Pivot Point S3162.7
Daily Pivot Point R1167.59
Daily Pivot Point R2169.16
Daily Pivot Point R3170.03

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
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