GBP/JPY Price Analysis: Falls to 4-month lows around 157.40s

GBP/JPY drops below a three-month-old upslope trendline, down since last week’s high close of around 3%.
The RSI at oversold conditions suggests the GBP/JPY could be bottoming, but the RoC suggests that sellers remain in charge.
GBP/JPY Price Analysis: Break below 157.00 would exacerbate a fall to 154.00.

Christian Borjon Valencia FXStreet

The GBP/JPY plunged more than 100 pips on Monday, extending its losses to three consecutive days, once price action dived below the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). Furthermore, the cross of the 20-day EMA beneath the 200-day EMA exacerbated the acceleration of the downtrend, as the GBP/JPY gets poised to fall toward the 155.00 mark. At the time of writing, the GBP/JPY is trading at 157.46, below its opening price by 0.69%.

GBP/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook

After clearing a three-month-old upslope support trendline drawn from September lows around 148.60s, the GBP/JPY fall increased its velocity. Last Thursday, the GBP/JPY formed a bearish engulfing candle pattern, followed by a tall red candle that cleared on its way south of the 160.00 figure and the previously mentioned trendline. Oscillators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) entered oversold conditions, while the Rate of Change (RoC) shows that sellers remain gathering momentum. Therefore, the GBP/JPY might continue to fall further.

Therefore the GBP/JPY first support would be the September 29 daily low of 155.60, followed by the 155.00 mark, ahead of the September 27 swing low of 154.07.

As an alternate scenario, if GBP/JPY buyers reclaim 159.00, that could open the door to 160.00, close of the previously mentioned upslope trendline, which would be resistance, ahead of the 20-day EMA at 161.86.

GBP/JPY Key Technical Levels

GBP/JPY

Overview
Today last price	157.56
Today Daily Change	-1.14
Today Daily Change %	-0.72
Today daily open	158.7

Trends
Daily SMA20	164.03
Daily SMA50	166.02
Daily SMA100	164.47
Daily SMA200	163.76

Levels
Previous Daily High	160.53
Previous Daily Low	157.84
Previous Weekly High	162.34
Previous Weekly Low	157.84
Previous Monthly High	169.28
Previous Monthly Low	157.84
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	158.87
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	159.51
Daily Pivot Point S1	157.52
Daily Pivot Point S2	156.33
Daily Pivot Point S3	154.82
Daily Pivot Point R1	160.21
Daily Pivot Point R2	161.72
Daily Pivot Point R3	162.9

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

FXStreet

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7000; remains close to monthly top

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during the Asian session on Friday, trading just below the previous day's monthly low amid diverging forces. A hawkish RBA continues to support the Aussie, while the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near a three-week low. However, oil-driven inflation fears reinforce Fed hike bets, which, along with geopolitical risks, could benefit the safe-haven buck and cap the currency pair.

USD/JPY bounces off one-month low; climbs to 157.00 amid reviving USD demand

USD/JPY rebounds from the 156.00 neighborhood, or a one-month low touched during Friday’s Asian session, with bulls looking to extend momentum beyond 157.00 amid the emergence of some US Dollar buying. Meanwhile, Japan's National CPI rose to a nine-month peak and reaffirmed BoJ rate-hike bets, which could support the Japanese Yen and cap gains for the currency pair.

Gold treads water around $4,000

Gold prices maintain its offered stance in place at the end of the week, hovering around the key $4,000 threshold per troy ounce. The persistent selling bias in the precious metal comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar and an acceptable rebound in US Treasury yields across the curve, all alongside further upside traction in crude oil prices.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin holds the 50-day EMA as Ethereum and XRP face structural resistance

Bitcoin gradually ticks up on Friday, trading above $81,000. The Crypto King has recently defended structural support near $80,000, reinforcing the prevailing bullish outlook. Ethereum similarly edges higher above $2,400, while Ripple trades above $1.32 after testing support around $1.30.

The French bond panic is overdone. Here's what the market is misreading

France's 10-year government bond yield has climbed above 5%, reigniting fears of a sovereign debt crisis in the Eurozone. With public debt exceeding €3.5 trillion, persistent budget deficits and a fragmented political landscape, investors are increasingly questioning the French government's ability to stabilize its finances.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.