|

GBP/JPY Price Analysis: Bulls maintain stronghold, despite profit take-off

  • The daily chart shows that the bulls are taking their foot off the gas and started to take profits.
  • The hourly chart shows signs of short-term selling pressure ahead of the Asian session.
  • The main support to hold is the 20-day SMA at 196.00.

On Thursday's session, the GBP/JPY declined to 199.20 but holds an overall positive outlook. This theory is backed up by the pair approaching near-cycle highs. If the cross holds the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 196.00, the downward movements could be considered corrective.

In the daily chart, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) exhibits heightened bullish momentum as it comfortably resides in positive territory nearing overbought conditions but seems to be flattening. Simultaneously, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) reveals a decreasing bullish momentum, distinguished by falling green bars. This indicates that while buyers currently hold the reins, their influence may be abating.

GBP/JPY daily chart

Switching to the hourly chart, the RSI portrays a contrasting bearish tendency, with the latest reading of approximately 44, dipping into negative territory. A declining trend is corroborated by the MACD's ascending red bars, suggesting a surge in negative momentum as sellers gain influence in the short term.

GBP/JPY hourly chart

To conclude, the GBP/JPY pair rose near cycle highs, and indicators reached overbought conditions which may trigger a corrective phase. Ahead of the Asian session, investors are taking profits, evident in the hourly chart where indicators are in the red. However, as long as the pair holds above the 20,100 and 200-day SMAs, the outlook will be bullish.

GBP/JPY

Overview
Today last price199.17
Today Daily Change-0.22
Today Daily Change %-0.11
Today daily open199.39
 
Trends
Daily SMA20195.81
Daily SMA50193.25
Daily SMA100190.65
Daily SMA200187.07
 
Levels
Previous Daily High199.54
Previous Daily Low198.38
Previous Weekly High197.86
Previous Weekly Low194.74
Previous Monthly High200.59
Previous Monthly Low190
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%199.1
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%198.83
Daily Pivot Point S1198.66
Daily Pivot Point S2197.94
Daily Pivot Point S3197.5
Daily Pivot Point R1199.83
Daily Pivot Point R2200.27
Daily Pivot Point R3200.99

Author

Patricio Martín

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

More from Patricio Martín
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD eases from around 1.1800 after US GDP figures

The US Dollar is finding some near-term demand after the release of the US Q3 GDP. According to the report, the economy expanded at an annualized rate of 4.3% in the three months to September, well above the 3.3% forecast by market analysts.

GBP/USD retreats below 1.3500 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD retreats from session highs and trades slightly below 1.3500 in the second half of the day on Tuesday. The US Dollar stages a rebound following the better-than-expected Q3 growth data, limiting the pair's upside ahead of the Christmas break.

Gold to challenge fresh record highs

Gold prices soared to $4,497 early on Monday, as persistent US Dollar weakness and thinned holiday trading exacerbated the bullish run. The bright metal eases following the release of an upbeat US Q3 GDP reading, as USD finds near-term demand in the American session.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP decline as risk-off sentiment escalates

Bitcoin remains under pressure, trading above the $87,000 support at the time of writing on Tuesday. Selling pressure has continued to weigh on the broader cryptocurrency market since Monday, triggering declines across altcoins, including Ethereum and Ripple.

Ten questions that matter going into 2026

2026 may be less about a neat “base case” and more about a regime shift—the market can reprice what matters most (growth, inflation, fiscal, geopolitics, concentration). The biggest trap is false comfort: the same trades can look defensive… right up until they become crowded.

Dogecoin ticks lower as low Open Interest, funding rate weigh on buyers

Dogecoin extends its decline as risk-off sentiment dominates across the crypto market. DOGE’s derivatives market remains weak amid suppressed futures Open Interest and perpetual funding rate.