|

GBP/JPY extends gains, nearing 204.00 after upbeat UK Retail Sales

  • The Pound hits fresh two-week highs right below 204.00 against a weakened Yen.
  • An unexpected increase in UK retail sales has provided a fresh boost to the Sterling.
  • The yen remains offered on the back of speculation about a large stimulus plan for Japan.

The British Pound has accelerated its uptrend on Friday, reaching fresh two-week highs in the area of 203.90, buoyed by an unexpected increase of September’s UK Retail Sales figures, and is on track to close the week with a o0.8% advance, its best weekly performance since July.

Data released by National Statistics earlier on Friday revealed that retail consumption rose 0.5% for the fourth consecutive month in September, against market expectations of a 0.2% decline. Beyond that, August’s reading has been upwardly revised to a 0.6% reading from the previously estimated 0.5%.

The unexpected increase in retail consumption has been due to a sharp increase in computer and telecom products nd higher sales for gold in online jewellers. These figures have improved the outlook of the UK economy, questioned after the soft CPI figures seen earlier this month, and have provided additional support to the British Pound.

The Yen, on the other hand, remains on its back foot amid speculation that Japan’s new Prime Minister would be planning to approve a USD 90 million stimulus package to help households cope with the rising inflation.

Investors’ concerns about the health of the country’s public finances have been undermining confidence in the yen since the fiscal dove Takaechi took charge. The hotter National CPI figures seen on Thursday failed to provide any significant support to the Yen as investors are dialing down hopes of a BoJ rate hike, at least until the stimulus package is voted on in the parliament.

Economic Indicator

Retail Sales (MoM)

The Retail Sales data, released by the Office for National Statistics on a monthly basis, measures the volume of sales of goods by retailers in Great Britain directly to end customers. Changes in Retail Sales are widely followed as an indicator of consumer spending. Percent changes reflect the rate of changes in such sales, with the MoM reading comparing sales volumes in the reference month with the previous month. Generally, a high reading is seen as bullish for the Pound Sterling (GBP), while a low reading is seen as bearish.

Read more.

Last release: Fri Oct 24, 2025 06:00

Frequency: Monthly

Actual: 0.5%

Consensus: -0.2%

Previous: 0.5%

Source: Office for National Statistics

Economic Indicator

Retail Sales (YoY)

The Retail Sales data, released by the Office for National Statistics on a monthly basis, measures the volume of sales of goods by retailers in Great Britain directly to end customers. Changes in Retail Sales are widely followed as an indicator of consumer spending. Percent changes reflect the rate of changes in such sales, with the YoY reading comparing sales volumes in the reference month with the same month a year earlier. Generally, a high reading is seen as bullish for the Pound Sterling (GBP), while a low reading is seen as bearish.

Read more.

Last release: Fri Oct 24, 2025 06:00

Frequency: Monthly

Actual: 1.5%

Consensus: 0.6%

Previous: 0.7%

Source: Office for National Statistics

Author

Guillermo Alcala

Graduated in Communication Sciences at the Universidad del Pais Vasco and Universiteit van Amsterdam, Guillermo has been working as financial news editor and copywriter in diverse Forex-related firms, like FXStreet and Kantox.

More from Guillermo Alcala
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD climbs to daily highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD now picks up pace and advances to the area of daily peaks north of the 1.1800 barrier at the end of the week. The pair’s decent move higher comes against the backdrop of a generalised lack of direction in the FX galaxy and the mild offered stance in the US Dollar.

GBP/USD trims losses, retests 1.3460

After briefly challenging its key 200-day SMA near 1.3440, GBP/USD now manages to regain some balance and revisit the 1.3460 zone on Friday. Cable’s pullback comes as the selling pressure on the Greenback gathers traction, reigniting some recovery in the risk-linked space.

Gold seen through the roof as US, Israel and Iran war enters day 3

Gold is set for a huge bullish opening gap in Asian trading on Monday, with a flight to safety rush likely to sponsor the upsurge after the US and Israel struck Iran with heavy bombings over the weekend. More geopolitical headlines surrounding the Middle East conflict and Oil price movement remain in focus. 

Iran escalation: Quick thoughts on markets

Markets are likely to open the week with risk-off, with declines led by airlines, cyclicals and trade-exposed names, while energy, defense and “strategic” sectors may be relatively steadier.

Oil at a critical breakpoint: Will geopolitics trigger the next major move?

The week ahead blends two powerful forces: moderating economic momentum and increasing geopolitical tension. While US and Eurozone data suggest steady but unspectacular growth, rising friction between the US and Iran is injecting a fresh risk premium into energy markets. Macro is softening but geopolitics may dominate price action.

Starknet unveils strkBTC, shielded Bitcoin transactions on Ethereum Layer 2

Starknet, the Ethereum Layer 2 network developed by StarkWare, today announced strkBTC, a wrapped Bitcoin asset that introduces optional shielding while preserving full DeFi composability.