GBP/JPY breaks into fresh multi-decade highs as Yen continues to soften

GBP/JPY breached 200.60, setting a fresh 34-year high.
Thin UK data leaves GBP free to drift higher against the Yen.
Japanes Tokyo CPI inflation due on Friday.

Joshua Gibson FXStreet

GBP/JPY drifted into a new 34-year high above 200.60 on Tuesday as Yen pairs continue to pare away JPY strength following suspected “Yenterventions” from the Bank of Japan (BoJ) and Japanese Minstry of Finance who overspent nine trillion Yen on miscellaneous financial operations and is broadly assumed to have intervened directly in global markets in an attempt to shore up the battered Yen.

No official statement from the BoJ or the Ministry has been forthcoming, but markets are challenging Japanese planners and shorting the Yen back into multi-decade lows. The Guppy hit its highest bids in 34 years as the wide rate differential between the BoJ and other central banks including the Bank of England (BoE) remains simply too high for markets to bolster the JPY.

The key datapoint for the GBP/JPY this week will be Japan’s Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation update due on Thursday. Core Tokyo CPI for the year ended in May is expected to tick higher to 1.9% from 1.6%. Headline Tokyo CPI inflation last printed at 1.8% in April.

Markets remain unsure of when the BoE will deliver much-hoped for rate cuts. Previous hopes for a June rate cut have evaporated, and investors are looking for signs that the BoE will make a first rate trim in September.

GBP/JPY technical outlook

The Guppy has traded entirely one-sided since drooping to a near-term low near 191.50. The pair has 4.8% since the beginning of May, and is poised for further gains into multi-decade highs.

GBP/JPY is up over 12% after knocking into the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at the beginning of 2024. The pair has closed in the green for all but three of the last 16 consecutive trading days.

GBP/JPY hourly chart

GBP/JPY daily chart

GBP/JPY

Overview
Today last price	200.61
Today Daily Change	0.25
Today Daily Change %	0.12
Today daily open	200.36

Trends
Daily SMA20	196.34
Daily SMA50	193.87
Daily SMA100	191.14
Daily SMA200	187.28

Levels
Previous Daily High	200.43
Previous Daily Low	199.61
Previous Weekly High	200.07
Previous Weekly Low	197.39
Previous Monthly High	200.59
Previous Monthly Low	190
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	200.12
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	199.92
Daily Pivot Point S1	199.84
Daily Pivot Point S2	199.32
Daily Pivot Point S3	199.02
Daily Pivot Point R1	200.66
Daily Pivot Point R2	200.95
Daily Pivot Point R3	201.48

Author

Joshua Gibson

FXStreet

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

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