|

GBP/JPY bounces off one-week low, still deep in the red below 190.00 mark

  • GBP/JPY meets with aggressive supply and dives to over a one-week low on Thursday.
  • Intervention threats, along with hawkish BoJ talks, provide a strong boost to the JPY.
  • A softer risk tone further benefits the safe-haven JPY and contributes to the downfall.

The GBP/JPY cross comes under intense selling pressure on Thursday and retreats further from its highest level since August 2015, around the 191.30 area touched earlier this week. Spot prices dive to over a one-week low during the first half of the European session, though manage to rebound a few pips in the last hour and currently trade around the 189.65-189.70 region, still down nearly 0.60% for the day.

A fresh intervention warning by Japan's vice finance minister for international affairs Masato Kanda and the Bank of Japan (BoJ) board member Hajime Takata's hawkish remarks provide a strong boost to the Japanese Yen (JPY), which, in turn, prompts aggressive selling around the GBP/JPY cross. In fact, Kanda reiterated that the government stands ready to take appropriate action against excessive exchange-rate moves and volatility.

Separately, Takata said that achievement of the 2% inflation target is becoming in sight and that the central bank must consider taking a nimble and flexible approach towards an exit from ultra-loose monetary policy. Apart from this, a slight deterioration in the global risk sentiment – as depicted by the prevalent cautious mood around the equity markets – turns out to be another factor benefiting the JPY's relative safe-haven status.

The British Pound (GBP), on the other hand, is undermined by firming expectations that the Bank of England (BoE ) will start cutting interest rates soon. This further contributes to the GBP/JPY pair's steep intraday decline to the 189.35 zone. Meanwhile, policymakers have been trying to push back against market expectations for early interest rate cuts, which, in turn, lends some support to spot prices and helps limit further losses.

In fact, BoE Deputy Governor Dave Ramsden said on Tuesday that he wants more evidence that inflationary pressures were easing to consider a cut in interest rates. Adding to this, BoE's Catherine Mann said on Wednesday that the spending habits of wealthy Britons make it harder to curb inflation. This, in turn, warrants some caution before confirming that the GBP/JPY cross has topped out and positioning for deeper losses.

GBP/JPY

Overview
Today last price189.7
Today Daily Change-1.09
Today Daily Change %-0.57
Today daily open190.79
 
Trends
Daily SMA20188.93
Daily SMA50186.23
Daily SMA100185.2
Daily SMA200183.35
 
Levels
Previous Daily High190.97
Previous Daily Low190.27
Previous Weekly High191.15
Previous Weekly Low188.91
Previous Monthly High188.94
Previous Monthly Low178.74
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%190.54
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%190.7
Daily Pivot Point S1190.38
Daily Pivot Point S2189.98
Daily Pivot Point S3189.69
Daily Pivot Point R1191.08
Daily Pivot Point R2191.37
Daily Pivot Point R3191.78

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

USD/JPY eyes August swing low, near 155.20 ahead of US NFP

USD/JPY retests the August monthly swing low during the Asian session on Friday as a more hawkish repricing of BoJ rate-hike bets and a suspected intervention continue to underpin the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, the US Dollar is seen consolidating the previous day's heavy losses amid soft US bond yields, further weighing on the currency pair as traders keenly await the US NFP report.

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7200; US NFP awaited

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7200, near its highest level since mid-May, as bulls await the US NFP report for more cues on the Fed's policy path before placing fresh bets. Meanwhile, the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near its lowest level in over a week and acts as a tailwind for the Aussie amid the RBA's hawkish tilt.

Gold tumbles as blockbuster US NFP lift US Dollar, Treasury yields

Gold (XAU/USD) falls sharply on Friday, snapping a two-day recovery after the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report surprised strongly to the upside. The metal briefly climbed above $4,500 on Thursday, gaining nearly 2%, but has since erased a large part of that advance.

Crypto’s $638 million buyback boom may not be as bullish as it looks
Decentralized Finance (DeFi) protocols reportedly spent $638 million to buy back their native tokens in August, up 17% from a year earlier. On the surface, the buyback trend suggests the cryptocurrency industry is maturing fast, adopting one of Wall Street’s oldest tools to bolster valuations and distribute revenue. The headline becomes less impressive once the number is opened up.
Why hawkish Bank of Japan expectations aren't enough to sustain the Japanese Yen rally

The Japanese Yen (JPY) experienced a sudden burst higher after falling back below the 160.00 psychological mark against the US Dollar (USD) earlier this week amid a more hawkish repricing of Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate hike expectations.

Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.