|

GBP extending recovery in quiet week – Scotiabank

The Pound Sterling (GBP) is steady against the US Dollar (USD), trading with modest support as it extends Wednesday’s bull reversal, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.

Markets eye Fed/BoE divergence

"Movement has been limited in the absence of any major domestic data releases. Fundamentals are offering material support as we note the continued climb in the 2Y UK-US yield spread. This is largely a reflection of shifting Fed expectations as the BoE outlook has remained largely unchanged over the past week or so."

"This week’s comments from BoE MPC member Mann were neutral, preferring to maintain the Bank Rate at current levels. The RSI is extending further into bullish territory following its recent pullback to neutral levels around 50."

"GBP/USD is also crucially back above its 50 day MA (1.3496), and it looks to have also broken above descending resistance drawn from the August 14/22 highs. We see limited resistance ahead of the upper 1.35s and look to a near-term range bound between 1.3480 and 1.3580."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD clings to 1.3500 amid marginal losses

GBP/USD alternates gains with losses around the 1.3500 neighbourhood on Tuesday. Indeed, Cable struggles to further extend its incipient recovery in a context of continuous instability in the Middle East and modest gains in the Greenback.

EUR/USD alternates gains with losses near 1.1540

EUR/USD navigates a tight range near 1.1550 in the latter part of Tuesday’s NA session. The US Dollar’s vacillating price action accompanies the pair while market participants gear up for the crucial US inflation data due on Wednesday.

Gold awaits US CPI inflation for the next big move

Gold is back on the bids and looks to regain the $4,400 level in Wednesday’s Asian trading, having found buyers near the $4,350 region. All eyes remain on the high-impact US Consumer Price Index data, which could determine if Gold stretches higher or corrects sharply.

Bitcoin steadies, Ethereum holds 50-day EMA, XRP rebounds from $1 support

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple are showing mixed price action on Wednesday as traders assess key technical support levels. BTC remains under pressure after its recent decline, while ETH is attempting to extend its rebound from the 50-day Exponential Moving Average. Meanwhile, XRP is holding above the crucial $1 level, keeping its recovery attempt intact.

US Dollar: CPI keeps USD in tight ranges

OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note the US Dollar softened as Fed hike expectations moderated and the US yield curve steepened. They argue that without a strong upside surprise in United States Consumer Price Index, the USD should stay rangebound, supporting carry trades.

9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.