|

GBP edges up ahead of busy UK data week – Scotiabank

The Pound Sterling (GBP) gained slightly against the US Dollar (USD) as markets prepare for a heavy UK data calendar ahead of Thursday’s Bank of England meeting. With jobs, preliminary PMIs, and CPI releases scheduled this week, the widely expected 25bps rate cut to 3.75% leaves room for a neutral or hawkish surprise, while market positioning continues to price in significant easing risks, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.

Markets brace for BoE rate decision on Thursday

"The pound is up a fractional 0.1% vs. the USD and a relative performer against most of the G10 currencies as we enter Monday’s NA session."

"The domestic calendar is heavy leading into Thursday’s BoE with jobs and preliminary PMI’s scheduled for Tuesday, CPI on Wednesday, and retail sales following the central bank decision on Friday. A 25bpt cut — to 3.75%— is widely anticipated and risk lies with the statement tone (there will be no fresh forecasts)."

"We see scope for neutral/hawkish surprise in the aftermath of the latest budget, and note that markets are pricing considerable easing into the short-term rates market with options still pricing a sizeable premium for protection against GBP weakness."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD clings to small gains near 1.1750

Following a short-lasting correction in the early European session, EUR/USD regains its traction and clings to moderate gains at around 1.1750 on Monday. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low, with investors awaiting this weeks key data releases from the US and the ECB policy announcements.

GBP/USD edges higher toward 1.3400 ahead of US data and BoE

GBP/USD reverses its direction and advances toward 1.3400 following a drop to the 1.3350 area earlier in the day. The US Dollar struggles to gather recovery momentum as markets await Tuesday's Nonfarm Payrolls data, while the Pound Sterling holds steady ahead of the BoE policy announcements later in the week.

Gold pulls away from session high, holds above $4,300

Gold loses its bullish momentum and retreats below $4,350 after testing this level earlier on Monday. XAU/USD, however, stays in positive territory as the US Dollar remains on the back foot on growing expectations for a dovish Fed policy outlook next year.

Solana consolidates as spot ETF inflows near $1 billion signal institutional dip-buying

Solana price hovers above $131 at the time of writing on Monday, nearing the upper boundary of a falling wedge pattern, awaiting a decisive breakout. On the institutional side, demand for spot Solana Exchange-Traded Funds remained firm, pushing total assets under management to nearly $1 billion since launch. 

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Solana Price Forecast: SOL consolidates as spot ETF inflows near $1 billion signal institutional dip-buying

Solana (SOL) price hovers above $131 at the time of writing on Monday, nearing the upper boundary of a falling wedge pattern, awaiting a decisive breakout.