GBP a mid-performer on broader USD – Scotiabank

FXStreet Insights Team FXStreet

The Pound Sterling (GBP) is up 0.2% against the US Dollar (USD) and a mid-performer among the G10, its gains reflecting a weaker USD rather than any improvement in the UK’s domestic situation, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.

Fundamentals deteriorating as markets reprice dovish BoE following jobs Tuesday

"Fundamentals have deteriorated with a notable pullback in UK-US spreads, narrowing from their recent two year highs in a pullback that warrants attention. The outlook for relative central bank policy is shifting and rates markets are pricing in renewed dovishness at the BoE following Tuesday’s labor market disappointment."

"The data were acknowledged by Gov. Bailey as he specifically highlighted the softness in the labor market and the need to balance this against above-target inflation. Markets are now pricing in nearly one full 25bpt by February, up nearly 10bpts over the past week."

"The RSI is also pulling up from moderately bearish levels in the lower 40s and drifting back toward the neutral threshold at 50. Recent support was clearly observed in the mid-1.32s, and resistance appears limited ahead of 1.34 and the 50 day MA at 1.3476. We look to a near-term range bound between 1.33 and 1.34."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

FXStreet

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

GBP/USD flirts with tops near 1.3470

GBP/USD manages to regain composure and challenge the area of daily highs around 1.3470 on Friday. Cable picks up pace despite marginal gains in the Greenback in a context of swelling geopolitical tensions and rising global oil prices.

EUR/USD trims losses, back above 1.1500

EUR/USD picks up some pace and bouces off earlier lows, reclaiming the 1.1500 threshold and beyond at the end of the week. The pair’s modest pullback follows a persistent risk-averse market mood and renewed buying interest for the US Dollar.

Gold: The $4,000 mark holds the downside for now

Gold faces renewed selling pressure, falling sharply toweard the $4,000 mark per troy ounce as the US Dollar regains momentum. Escalating US-Iran tensions are keeping inflation concerns and expectations of further Fed rate hikes alive, weighing further on the yellow metal.

Bitcoin eyes 50-day EMA breakout, Ethereum consolidates, XRP steadies

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple trade near key technical levels on Friday as the broader cryptocurrency market pauses following last week's recovery. BTC is approaching the 50-day Exponential Moving Average while ETH continues to consolidate between two major EMAs.

Warsh needs to restore his reputation

We were glad to see our deeply negative reaction to the Warsh press conference was not some personal peculiarity. Just about everybody in the financial press felt the same way. The consensus is building it’s not the Fed in the dog-house but only Warsh. Today the WSJ changed it tune and blasted Warsh—"the honeymoon is already over..”

9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?

The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.