|

Forex Today: What if the RBA…?

The US Dollar alternated gains with losses in the area of two-month lows in a context of marginal trading conditions amid the inactivity in the US markets due to the Washington’s Day holiday.

Here is what you need to know on Tuesday, February 18:

The US Dollar Index (DXY) navigated a vacillating session in the sub-107.00 zone, or multi-week lows, following the absence of volatility in the broader FX galaxy. The NAHB Housing Market Index is due, along with the NY Empire State Manufacturing Index, TIC Flows, and speeches by Waller, Barr and Daly.

EUR/USD traded with marginal loses after returning to the region below the 1.0500 mark. The ZEW’s Economic Sentiment gauge in Germany and the euro bloc will precede the speech by the ECB’s Cipollone and the ECOFIN Meeting.

GBP/USD maintained its bullish bias in place above the key 1.2600 hurdle. The UK docket will feature the labour market report along with the speech by the BoE’s Bailey.

Further appreciation of the Japanese yen kept USD/JPY on the back foot in the area of multi-day lows around 151.30. The BoJ’s Takada will be the only release in the domestic calendar.

AUD/USD clinched new two-months tops around 0.6370, extending further its monthly recovery. The RBA will hold its monetary policy meeting, followed by Governor M. Bullock’s press conference.

Prices of WTI rebounded modestly amid the indecisive greenback, potential ceasefire talks in the Russia-Ukraine war and supply disruptions in the Caspian region.

Prices of Gold partially faded Friday’s deep sell-off and flirted with the $2,900 region against the backdrop of the lack of direction in the dollar and steady concerns around US tariffs. Silver prices followed suit and advanced to the $32.50 zone per ounce.

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD clings to gains above 1.1700

Following the correction seen in the second half of the previous week, EUR/USD gains traction to start the new week and trades in positive territory above 1.1700. The US Dollar (USD) struggles to attract buyers as investors await Tuesday's GDP data ahead of the Christmas holiday. 

GBP/USD rises above 1.3400 on renewed USD weakness

GBP/USD turns north on Monday and trades in positive territory above 1.3400. The US Dollar (USD) stays on the back foot to begin the new week as investors adjust their positions before tomorrow's growth data, helping the pair stretch higher.

Gold hits new record-high above $4,400 as geopolitical tensions escalate

Gold trades at a fresh all-time-high above $4,400 Monday, rising more than 1.5% on a daily basis. The potential for a re-escalation of the tensions in the Middle East on news of Israel planning to attack Iran allows Gold to capitalize on safe-haven flows.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple eye breakout for fresh recovery

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are approaching key technical levels at the time of writing on Monday as the broader crypto market stabilizes. Market participants are closely watching whether BTC, ETH, and XRP can sustain breakouts and achieve decisive daily closes above nearby resistance levels, which could signal the start of a short-term recovery.

Ten questions that matter going into 2026

2026 may be less about a neat “base case” and more about a regime shift—the market can reprice what matters most (growth, inflation, fiscal, geopolitics, concentration). The biggest trap is false comfort: the same trades can look defensive… right up until they become crowded.

Hyperliquid price forecast: Bullish interest builds amid user recovery

Hyperliquid (HYPE) trades at $25 at press time on Monday, holding the 3% gains from the previous day. The perpetual exchange sees a recovery in active users, while weekly fees collected decline to the lowest level so far this month.