|

Forex Today: What if the RBA…?

The US Dollar alternated gains with losses in the area of two-month lows in a context of marginal trading conditions amid the inactivity in the US markets due to the Washington’s Day holiday.

Here is what you need to know on Tuesday, February 18:

The US Dollar Index (DXY) navigated a vacillating session in the sub-107.00 zone, or multi-week lows, following the absence of volatility in the broader FX galaxy. The NAHB Housing Market Index is due, along with the NY Empire State Manufacturing Index, TIC Flows, and speeches by Waller, Barr and Daly.

EUR/USD traded with marginal loses after returning to the region below the 1.0500 mark. The ZEW’s Economic Sentiment gauge in Germany and the euro bloc will precede the speech by the ECB’s Cipollone and the ECOFIN Meeting.

GBP/USD maintained its bullish bias in place above the key 1.2600 hurdle. The UK docket will feature the labour market report along with the speech by the BoE’s Bailey.

Further appreciation of the Japanese yen kept USD/JPY on the back foot in the area of multi-day lows around 151.30. The BoJ’s Takada will be the only release in the domestic calendar.

AUD/USD clinched new two-months tops around 0.6370, extending further its monthly recovery. The RBA will hold its monetary policy meeting, followed by Governor M. Bullock’s press conference.

Prices of WTI rebounded modestly amid the indecisive greenback, potential ceasefire talks in the Russia-Ukraine war and supply disruptions in the Caspian region.

Prices of Gold partially faded Friday’s deep sell-off and flirted with the $2,900 region against the backdrop of the lack of direction in the dollar and steady concerns around US tariffs. Silver prices followed suit and advanced to the $32.50 zone per ounce.

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).