|

Forex Today: What if the Fed…?

The Greenback managed to recoup part of the ground lost in recent days on the back of firmer results from US data releases, which helped quash somewhat concerns over a significant slowdown of the US economy, all prior to the Fed’s interest rate decision on Wednesday.

Here is what you need to know on Wednesday, September 18:

The US Dollar Index (DXY) reversed three consecutive daily pullbacks helped by a decent bounce in US yields while investors continued to price in a 50-bps rate cut by the Fed on Wednesday. The salient event of the week will be the FOMC meeting on September 18, seconded by the weekly Mortgage Applications by MBA, Building Permits, Housing Starts, and Net TIC Flows.

Renewed buying pressure in the Greenback kept EUR/USD’s price action subdued in the low-1.1100s ahead of the FOMC gathering. On September 18, the final Inflation Rate and Construction Output in the euro zone are due, along with speeches by the ECB’s Buch and McCaul.

GBP/USD traded on the defensive and retreated from earlier peaks near 1.3230 in response to the data-led bounce in the US Dollar. The UK Inflation Rate will be published on September 18.

USD/JPY rose to three-day highs and revisited the 142.00 neighbourhood on the back of fresh gains in the Greenback and higher US yields across the board. The Balance of Trade results and Machinery Orders will be unveiled on September 18.

AUD/USD alternated gains with losses around 0.6750, reaching new multi-day highs despite the better tone in the US Dollar. The Westpac Leading Index is expected on September 18 followed by the speech by the RBA’s Jones.

Prices of WTI came under pressure near the $70.00 mark per barrel as Chinese demand concerns returned to the fore.

Gold prices saw their recent strong advance trimmed on the back of the firmer US Dollar and the recovery in US yields. Silver prices extended Monday’s inconclusive price action, trading in a narrow range below the $31.00 mark per ounce.

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.