|

Forex Today: What if the ECB…?

The Greenback resumed its bearish sentiment and returned to the area of multi-month troughs on Wednesday, always against an unchanged tariff backdrop and Chief Powell’s neutral message from his remarks in Chicago.

Here is what you need to know on Thursday, April 17:

The US Dollar Index (DXY) tumbled to the low-99.00s accompanied by further decline in US yields across the curve. Building Permits, Housing Starts, the Philly Fed Manufacturing Index, and the weekly Initial Jobless Claims are all expected.

EUR/USD regained upside traction, revisiting the boundaries of 1.1400 the figure after two daily pullbacks in a row. The European Central Bank (ECB) is seen reducing its interest rates by 25 basis points.

GBP/USD hit fresh tops just pips away from the key 1.3300 hurdle, losing some momentum afterwards. Next on tap on the UK calendar will be the preliminary S&P Global Manufacturing and Services PMIs on April 23.

USD/JPY set aside Tuesday’s uptick and refocused on the downside, retreating to fresh seven-month lows in the sub-142.00 zone. Balance of Trade results will be published along with the weekly readings from Foreign Bond Investment.

Extra gains put AUD/USD at shouting distance from the 0.6400 region, hitting new multi-week tops. The critical labour market report takes centre stage Down Under.

Prices of WTI maintained their choppy performance on Wednesday, advancing modestly to around the $62.00 mark per barrel following headlines of fresh US sanctions against Chinese importers of Iranian oil.

Gold prices rose to an all-time peak past the $3,340 mark per troy ounce backed by unabated tariff-led inflows into the safe haven universe and the weaker Greenback. Silver prices rose further north of the $33.00 mark per ounce, or new two-week highs.

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Breaking: US Trump speaks about Venezuelan President Maduro's capture

 United States (US) President Donald Trump gave a press conference at his residence in Mar-a-Lago. Trump confirmed the capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife: “Maduro and his wife both will face US justice,” Trump said, adding the US will be running Venezuela until they can do a safe, proper, and judicious transition.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).