|

Forex Today: US Dollar keeps its footing following Friday's rally, eyes on mid-tier data

Here is what you need to know on Monday, February 27:

The US Dollar stays resilient against its major rivals early Monday after having registered impressive gains following the stronger-than-expected PCE inflation data on Friday. Consumer and business sentiment survey from the Eurozone will be watched closely by market participants. Later in the day, the US economic docket will feature Durable Goods Orders and Pending Home Sales data for January.

The US Bureau of Economic Analysis reported on Friday that the Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, the Fed's preferred gauge of inflation, edged higher to 4.7% in January from 4.6% in December on the back of a 0.6% monthly increase. The US Dollar Index (DXY) rallied during the American trading hours and climbed above 105.00 for the first time since early January. Following a two-day slide, the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield regained its traction and advanced toward 4%. Early Monday, the DXY stays relatively quiet slightly below 105.50 and the 10-year US T-bond yield moves sideways at around 3.95%. Meanwhile, US stock index futures trade flat in the European morning following the selloff witnessed in Wall Street's main indexes ahead of the weekend.

EUR/USD lost more than 100 pips last week and continued to edge lower early Monday. The pair was last seen trading at its lowest level since January 6 at 1.0535. Ahead of the weekend, EU member stated approved new sanctions against Russia that include new trade bans and export restrictions. European Commission will publish Economic Sentiment Indicator, Business Climate and Consumer Sentiment Indicator readings for February later in the session.

GBP/USD broke below on Friday and fell sharply heading into the weekend. The pair stays under modest bearish pressure and trades in negative territory below 1.1950 in the European morning. The Times reported on Sunday that British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak may have obtained 'significant concessions' in a looming Brexit deal. British Deputy Prime minister Dominic Raab told BBC’s Laura Kuenssberg on Sunday that the government had made 'great progress' negotiating with the EU. These developments, however, don't seem to be helping Pound Sterling find demand for the time being.

USD/JPY surged to its highest level in two months above 136.00 on Friday. The pair fluctuates in a relatively tight channel at around 136.50 on Monday. Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor designate Kazuo Ueda said earlier in the day that it will be appropriate to continue monetary easing and noted that it will be possible to achieve 2% inflation by doing that.

Gold price registered losses every day last week and closed at its lowest level since late December. XAU/USD stays under modest bearish pressure but manages to hold above $1,800.

Bitcoin lost more than 3% on Friday and stayed quiet on Saturday before staging a technical correction on Sunday. BTC/USD was last seen moving sideways at around $23,400. Ethereum rose nearly 3% on Sunday and reclaimed $1,600. Early Monday, ETH/USD holds steady slightly below $1,650.

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD holds losses above 0.7100 amid risk aversion

AUD/USD is off the lows but remains in the red above 0.7100 in Friday's Asian trading. Broad risk-aversion amid US-Iran uncertainty, combined with weak Australian GDP data, weighs heavily on the higher-yielding Australian Dollar. All eyes now remain on the US NFP report for fresh impetus.

USD/JPY coiling up around 160.00 amid 'Yentervention' threats

USD/JPY sits glued near 160.00 in Asia on Friday, as the Japanese Yen remains supported by persistent 'Yentervention' threats by Japan's officials. However, the pair's downside remains capped by the Mideast tensions-led risk-off mood and the US Dollar's bullish consolidation.

Gold keeps testing 200-day SMA ahead of the key US NFP data

Gold is reversing a part of the previous rebound early Friday, back around the $4,450 level as markets trade with caution amid a deadlock in the Gulf conflict and ahead of the all-important US Nonfarm Payrolls data release.  


DeFi hack losses drop 80% from 2022 peak as security defenses improve — Immunefi

Losses from decentralized finance exploits have fallen by 80% since reaching a record high in 2022, according to a report released by Immunefi. The report, which analyzed exploit-driven losses across major blockchain ecosystems between 2020 and 2025, found that DeFi protocol losses declined from $2.62 billion in 2022 to $534 million in 2024.

Nonfarm payrolls: Testing the limits of Fed policy patience

The upcoming nonfarm payrolls report for May will provide the final update on the US labor market before Kevin Warsh attends his first policy meeting as the new Fed Chair later this month.

Recession on paper: What really moves the Canadian Loonie now?

Statistics Canada handed the headline writers a gift and the analysts a headache. Real GDP shrank 0.1% on an annualized basis in the first quarter, and with the fourth quarter of 2025 revised down to a 1.0% contraction, that is two negative quarters in a row, the textbook definition of a technical recession and Canada's first since the pandemic.