|

Forex Today: Traders will look at employment data in Australia and the US

The US Dollar maintained its constructive path helped by fresh concerns around US tariffs and amid geopolitical tension in response to negotiations around a potential end of the Russia-Ukraine war.

Here is what you need to know on Thursday, February 20:

The US Dollar Index (DXY) added to Tuesday’s gains above the 107.00 barrier on the back of tariff concerns and despite declining US yields across the curve. The usual weekly Initial Jobless Claims are due, seconded by the Philly Fed Manufacturing Index, the CB Leading Economic Index, and the weekly report on US crude oil inventories by the EIA. In addition, the Fed’s Goolsbee, Barr, Musalem and Kugler are all due to speak.

EUR/USD came under extra selling pressure and receded to the 1.0400 zone, where some initial contention seems to have emerged. The advanced Consumer Confidence tracked by the European Commission will be in the spotlight, along with Producer Prices in Germany.

GBP/USD saw its decline pick up pace, breaking below the 1.2600 support despite firmer UK inflation data. The CBI Industrial Trends Orders will be released across the Channel.

Fresh buying interest in the Japanese yen prompted USD/JPY to leave behind Tuesday’s uptick and refocus on the downside, briefly retesting the 151.20 zone. The weekly Foreign Bond Investment figures are expected in “The Land of the Rising Sun”.

AUD/USD traded in a vacillating mood, although it managed well to keep the trade in the upper end of the range near 0.6350. The publication of the labour market report will be the salient event Down Under, seconded by preliminary S&P Global Manufacturing/Services/Composite PMIs.

The resurgence of tariff jitters, geopolitical tensions and supply woes saw the barrel of WTI advance for the third straight day, this time flirting with the $73.00 mark.

Prices of Gold rose to another record high near $2,950 per ounce troy, slowly approaching the key $3,000 mark. Silver prices could not sustain an early move past the $33.00 mark per ounce and eventually succumbed to the selling pressure.

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).