|

Forex Today: The US labour market will be in the spotlight

The US Dollar (USD) traded on the defensive, setting aside gains recorded in the previous day as investors assessed the recent sharp advance in global yields, while further cooling of the US labour market also weighed down on the Greenback.

Here's what to watch on Thursday, September 4:

The US Dollar Index (DXY) came under fresh downside pressure, challenging once again its key contention zone around the 98.00 level. The weekly Initial Jobless Claims, Challenger Job Cuts, the ADP Employment Change, Balance of Trade results, the ISM Services PMI, the final S&P Global Services PMI, and the EIA’s weekly report on US crude oil stockpiles are all due in the US alongside the speech by the Fed’s Williams.

EUR/USD regained balance and retested the 1.1680 zone on the back of the fresh bearish mood hitting the US Dollar. The HCOB Construction PMI in Germany and the euro area are due, followed by the Retail Sales in the euro region.

GBP/USD managed to trim part of Monday’s sharp losses and clocked decent gains toward the 1.3450 zone. The BoE’s Decision Maker Panel (DMP) and the S&P Global Construction PMI will be publisjed across the Channel.

USD/JPY snapped three daily advances in a row on Wednesday, coming under fresh pressure soon after hitting multi-week tops north of the 149.00 hurdle. Next on tap in Japan will be the weekly Foreign Bond Investment figures.

AUD/USD resumed its two-week recovery, reclaiming the area well north of 0.6500 the figure. Next on tap on the Australian calendar will be the Balance of Trade results and Household Spending.

Crude oil prices dropped markedly, fading Tuesday’s gains and refocuing on the downside below the $64.00 mark per barrel of WTI as traders evaluated the likelihood of another output hike by the OPEC+.

Gold prices rose to an all-time high past the $3,570 mark per troy ounce, clinching its seventh consecutive day of gains. The prospects of further rate cuts by the Fed continued to feed the precious metal’s rally. Silver prices extended their advance, surpassing the $41.00 mark per ounce for the first time since the summer of 2011.

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady above 1.1750 as traders await FOMC Minutes

The EUR/USD pair holds steady near 1.1770 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. Traders continue to price in the prospect of further rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve in 2026, following the 25-basis-point rate reduction delivered at the December meeting. The release of the Federal Open Market Committee Minutes will be in the spotlight later on Tuesday.

GBP/USD finds key support near 1.35 despite year-end grind

GBP/USD remains bolstered on the high end as markets grind through the last trading week of the year. Cable caught a bullish tilt to keep price action on the high side of the 1.3500 handle, though year-end holiday volumes are unlikely to see significant progress in either direction as 2025 draws to a close.

Gold rebounds to near $4,350 after Monday's 4+% correction

Gold is bouncing to near $4,350 early Tuesday, helped by renewed US Dollar weakness and a dismal mood. Gold was hit sharply by profit-taking on Monday during US trading hours and retreated towards $4,300, where buyers reappeared.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries, adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).