|

Forex Today: Steady markets ahead of central bankers and inflation data

No key reports are due during the Asian session. Later in the day, the US will report Durable Goods Orders, and Canada will release inflation data. The ECB Forum will gather attention with many central bankers due to speak on Tuesday ahead of a panel on Wednesday that will include Powell, Bailey, and Lagarde. Geopolitics is also on the agenda.

Here is what you need to know on Tuesday, June 26:

Wall Street finished lower on Monday, with the Nasdaq falling 1.16%, and Treasury yields declined. The US Dollar Index dropped modestly, closing around 102.75, on a quiet day for currencies. Market participants await new data and speeches from central bankers from the European Central Bank (ECB) forum. 

Monday's data showed that June's US Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index decreased from -29.1 to -23.2. On Tuesday, the US May Durable Goods Orders report is due, as well as housing data with the S&P/Case-Shiller and the FHFA Price Index and New Home Sales. This week's key number from the US will be on Friday with the Core Personal Consumption Expenditures.

EUR/USD moved sideways near 1.0900, away from Friday's low. The pair remains steady, showing no clear signs. The German Ifo survey declined more than expected. On Tuesday, the focus will be on ECB speakers at the Sintra conference. On Wednesday, Lagarde will be part of a policy panel with Bailey, Powell, and Ueda.

Analysts at Commerzbank:

The Ifo business climate has slumped for the second month in a row (88.5 after 91.5). The other leading indicators for the manufacturing sector are also pointing downwards. We feel confirmed in our forecast that the German economy will shrink again in the second half of the year. Many economists' still too optimistic economic forecasts are likely to be revised further downwards. This is also true for the ECB.

The Pound lagged on Monday, still affected by last week's developments. GBP/USD held above recent lows and finished slightly above 1.2700. Bank of England's Tenreyro will speak on Tuesday.

USD/JPY pulled back modestly from multi-month highs amid cautious markets and lowered US yields but held above 143.00.

The Canadian dollar continued to outperform. USD/CAD reached the lowest intraday level since mid-September at 1.3136 and bounced toward 1.3150, trimming losses. Crucial data will be released on Tuesday with the May Consumer Price Index, which is expected to slow down from an annual rate of 4.4% to 3.4%.

AUD/USD moved sideways around 0.6675 on Monday, consolidating last week's losses. The attention regarding data is set on Wednesday with Australia's Consumer Price Index for May ahead of next week's Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) meeting.

NZD/USD rebounded from the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and climbed above 0.6150. New Zealand Prime Minister Hipkins is on a state visit to China.

The Turkish Lira continued to decline and hit fresh record lows, with USD/TRY reaching levels above 26.00.

Gold prices peaked at $1,937 and then pulled back toward $1,920. Silver rose 1.50% and approached $23.00. Cryptocurrencies fell modestly, with Bitcoin holding above $30,000.


Like this article? Help us with some feedback by answering this survey:

Author

Matías Salord

Matías started in financial markets in 2008, after graduating in Economics. He was trained in chart analysis and then became an educator. He also studied Journalism. He started writing analyses for specialized websites before joining FXStreet.

More from Matías Salord
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD extends the range play above 0.7200 as traders await US inflation data

AUD/USD is seen extending its consolidative price move above 0.7200 during the Asian session on Thursday amid mixed cues. Rising RBA rate-hike bets keep the Aussie close to its highest level since May 14. However, hawkish Fed expectations and escalating US-Iran tensions offer some support to the US Dollar, capping the currency pair as traders await US inflation figures.


USD/JPY consolidates around 153.50 as bears turn cautious ahead of US inflation

USD/JPY stabilizes above 153.50 during the Asian session on Thursday, but remains near a seven-month low set earlier this week as hawkish BoJ repricing continues to underpin the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, rising September Fed rate-hike bets and escalating US-Iran tensions help ease US Dollar selling pressure, offering some support to the currency pair ahead of US inflation figures.

Gold resumes its decline below $4,400

Gold maintains an erratic trade so far this week, now slipping back below the key $4,400 mark per troy ounce following the stronger US Dollar and a strong rebound in US Treasury yields across the curve, particularly following US Producer Prices.

XRP slides amid a fragile crypto market structure
Ripple (XRP) falls for the second straight day, trading at $1.37 on Thursday. The broader cryptocurrency market remains fragile as investors weigh the impact of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, which triggered persistent increases in Crude Oil prices while restricting shipping through the Straight of Hormuz and the Red Sea.
Jobs opened the door for the Fed — inflation decides whether it walks through
The latest US jobs report did not end the debate over the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) next move. It may have done something more subtle: it gave policymakers permission to keep their options open. After months of softer labour market signals, August delivered a stronger-than-expected rebound.
Venezuela’s 65-billion-barrel Oil deal could reshape America’s inflation fight
The United States (US) has secured unprecedented access to part of Venezuela’s vast Oil reserves. The timing is particularly significant as the war with Iran is disrupting Middle Eastern supplies, keeping energy prices elevated and reviving concerns about inflation.