Forex Today: GBP dumped as Article 50 trigger looms


The Asian session this Wednesday was dominated by the GBP sellers, hammering cable and GBP crosses across the board, as the UK PM May is set to pull the trigger to formalize Britain’s exit from the EU later today, after she signed the Article 50 letter earlier on the day. Meanwhile, the US dollar consolidated the previous heavy gains, leaving most majors in tight trading ranges.

In the day ahead, all eyes will remain on the developments surrounding the Article 50 trigger by the UK PM Theresa May, with the Article 50 letter already signed by May to be delivered by Tim Barrow today at 11:30 GMT. Thereafter, the European Council (EC) President Donald Tusk will hold a press conference at 13:45 GMT on the UK Article 50 notification.

On the data-front, we have a light session ahead, while the pending home sales data will be reported in the NA session. Also, FOMC member Evans speech is due on the cards later today.

Main topics in Asia

GBP/USD and crosses beaten up as Brexit looms

Sterling crosses are taking a beating with GBP/USD extending losses, GBP/JPY to a lesser degree, although EUR/GBP spiking on the day so far to 0.8763, and GBP/AUD on its knees to 1.6179 so far.

China Beige Book: Economy steady for now, but concern on momentum

China Beige Book International published earlier on the day showed that the Chinese economy held steady in the first quarter.

Gold offered near $ 1252 in Asia, despite Brexit concerns

Gold prices on Comex stalled its minor overnight recovery mode and resumed declines in the Asian session, as positive equities and treasury yields dampen the safe-haven demand for the bullion.

Trump: Important to get infrastructure done

The US President Trump was on the wires earlier today, via Reuters, speaking at a reception for senators.

Key focus for the day ahead

All you need to know about UK’s Article 50 trigger

The historic triggering of the Article 50 by the UK PM Theresa May is just a few hours away, with the PM having already signed the Article 50 letter, which will be delivered by Tim Barrow today at 11:30 GMT. 

EC’s Tusk to release draft Brexit guidelines for Barnier by end of Friday - BBG

According to three people familiar with the matter, the European Council (EC) President Donald Tusk is expected to publish draft guidelines for Brexit Chief Barnier by the end of this week after the UK PM May triggers the Article 50 today, Bloomberg reports.

UK: Time has finally come for Theresa May to trigger Article 50 - TDS

Research Team at TDS points out that the time has finally come for Theresa May to trigger Article 50, kicking off a two-year negotiating period with the rest of the European Union (EU27).

Trump said to meet with Cohn on Thursday to discuss tax overhaul - BBG

Bloomberg quotes three people familiar with the meeting that the US President Trump is expected to meet with Gary Cohn, head of the National Economic Council, on Thursday to discuss tax overhaul.

GMT
Event
Vol.
Actual
Consensus
Previous
Tuesday, Mar 28
16:50
 
 
17:00
1.950%
 
1.937%
17:00
 
 
19:00
$-122M
 
$-106M
20:30
1.9M
 
4.5M
20:30
 
 
21:00
78
 
79
23:50
0.1%
0.5%
1.0%
23:50
0.2%
 
0.5%
23:50
-2.7%
 
-1.1%
Wednesday, Mar 29
06:00
 
0.3%
0.9%
06:00
 
7%
6%
06:00
 
 
1.43
06:45
 
100
100
07:00
 
 
4.3%
08:00
 
 
106.6
08:00
 
 
0.4%
08:00
 
 
0.1%
08:00
 
106.0
106.3
08:00
 
 
104.5
08:30
 
£4.9B
£4.8B
08:30
 
£1.300B
£1.416B
08:30
 
69.900K
69.928K
08:30
 
 
7%
08:30
 
0.5%
0.9%
09:00
 
 
19.4
11:00
 
 
-2.7%
11:30
 
 
6.5%
n/a
 
 
13:20
 
 
14:00
 
 
0.4%
14:00
 
2.1%
-2.8%
14:30
 
1.183M
4.954M
15:30
 
 
17:15
 
 
18:00
 
 
2.197%
23:50
 
 
¥149.4B
23:50
 
 
¥-580.4B
Thursday, Mar 30
01:00
 
 
-2.2%
05:00
 
 
12.04B
06:00
 
 
7.91%
07:00
 
 
85.7
07:00
 
2.7%
3.0%
07:00
 
 
2%
07:00
 
 
0.5%
07:00
 
106.0
107.2
08:00
 
 
-2
08:00
 
 
1.4%
08:30
 
 
-0.9%
n/a
 
 
2.28%
n/a
 
 
1.11%
09:00
 
 
-5
09:00
 
13.8
13.8
09:00
 
1.4
1.3
09:00
 
108.2
108.0
09:00
 
0.84
0.82
09:30
 
 
5.9%
09:30
 
 
0.4%
09:30
 
 
1.3
09:30
 
 
-4.4
10:00
 
 
2.97%
10:00
 
 
0.37%
12:00
 
2.0%
2.2%
12:00
 
2.0%
2.2%
12:00
 
0.5%
0.6%
12:00
 
0.5%
0.7%
12:00
 
 
0.08%
12:00
 
 
-2%
12:30
 
 
2M
12:30
 
248K
258K
12:30
 
 
1.9%
12:30
 
2%
2%
12:30
 
2.1%
1.9%
12:30
 
1.2%
1.2%
12:30
 
 
0.4%
12:30
 
 
1.7%
13:00
 
 
2.2%
13:00
 
 
0.3%
13:00
 
 
7%
14:30
 
 
-150B
15:00
 
 
15:15
 
 
19:00
 
 
6.25%
19:00
 
 
-2.3%
20:00
 
 
-29.62B
21:45
 
 
0.8%
23:00
 
 
1.7%
23:00
 
 
3.3%
23:00
 
 
0.5%
23:01
 
 
-6
23:30
 
-0.2%
-0.3%
23:30
 
 
-0.3%
23:30
 
 
0%
23:30
 
 
0.4%
23:30
 
0.2%
0.1%
23:30
 
 
0.2%
23:30
 
1.43
1.43
23:30
 
3%
3%
23:30
 
-1.7%
-1.2%
23:50
 
1.2%
-0.4%
23:50
 
 
3.7%
Friday, Mar 31
00:00
 
 
37.2%
00:00
 
 
16.6
00:30
 
 
0.2%
00:30
 
 
5.4%
01:00
 
 
54.2
01:00
 
 
51.6
05:00
 
 
3.3%
05:00
 
 
1.001M
05:00
 
-1.1%
12.8%
05:00
 
 
1.1%
06:00
 
0.3%
2.3%
06:00
 
0.7%
-0.8%
06:00
 
 
4.5%
06:00
 
 
0.6%
06:00
 
 
5.1%
06:45
 
 
0.7%
06:45
 
0.1%
0.6%
06:45
 
1.4%
1.4%
07:00
 
 
-4.31B
07:00
 
 
0.3%
07:00
 
 
0.1%
07:00
 
 
2.2%
07:00
 
 
1.9%
08:00
 
5.9%
5.9%
08:00
 
-10K
-14K
08:00
 
 
€3.4B
08:00
 
 
98.94K
08:00
 
 
3.1%
08:30
 
2%
2%
08:30
 
0.7%
0.7%
08:30
 
 
-1%
08:30
 
 
-0.9%
08:30
 
 
0.8%
08:30
 
£-17.00B
£-25.49B
09:00
 
1.6%
1.6%
09:00
 
1.5%
1.6%
09:00
 
 
0.4%
09:00
 
2.1%
0.2%
09:00
 
1.8%
2.0%
09:00
 
0.9%
0.9%
10:30
 
 
5,641.92B
11:00
 
 
1%
11:00
 
 
2.5%
11:30
 
 
4.1%
11:30
 
 
3.4%
11:30
 
 
$366.78B
12:30
 
0.4%
0.4%
12:30
 
 
0.4%
12:30
 
 
0.3%
12:30
 
 
1.9%
12:30
 
 
1.7%
12:30
 
0.2%
0.2%
12:30
 
0.3%
0.3%
13:45
 
56.5
57.4
14:00
 
97.6
97.6
14:30
 
 
0.299B
14:30
 
 
36.7B
15:00
 
 
11.7%
18:00
 
 
652
19:00
 
 
20:00
 
 
12.6%
20:30
 
 
$116.3K
20:30
 
 
$89.1K
20:30
 
 
418.5K
20:30
 
 
£-107.844K
20:30
 
 
¥-66.987K
20:30
 
 
€-19.662K
20:30
 
 
$44.955K

 

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