|

Forex Today: Fed-inspired dollar weakness continues ahead of key data releases

Here is what you need to know on Thursday, July 28:

The dollar came under heavy selling pressure late Wednesday and the US Dollar Index (DXY) erased all of Tuesday's gains. The DXY stays on the back foot and trades below 106.50 early Thursday as investors reassess the Federal Reserve's policy outlook. Later in the session, the US Bureau of Economic Analysis will release its first estimate of the second quarter of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth. The US Department of Labor's weekly Initial Jobless Claims will also be looked upon for fresh impetus. The European docket will feature German inflation figures and the business sentiment data for the eurozone. 

The Fed announced on Wednesday that it hiked the policy rate by 75 basis points to the range of 2.25-2.5%. During the press conference, Chairman Jerome Powell said that they will not be providing any rate guidance from now on. Regarding the policy outlook "our thinking is that we want to get to a moderately restrictive level by end of this year," Powell noted. "That means 3% to 3.5%."

Fed Quick Analysis: Powell abandons guidance, market cheer may prove short-lived

The Nasdaq Composite Index gained more than 4% on Wednesday and the S&P 500 Index gained 2.6%. Nevertheless, US stock index futures are trading in negative territory in the European morning, suggesting that investors are turning cautious ahead of the US GDP data. 

US Gross Domestic Product Preview: Would the US avoid a technical recession?

EUR/USD climbed to a daily high of 1.0235 in the early European session on Thursday. With the negative shift witnessed in risk sentiment helping the dollar limit its losses, however, the pair retreated below 1.0200.

GBP/USD climbed to its highest level in four weeks at 1.2188 but went into a consolidation phase early Thursday. The pair trades in a relatively tight channel above 1.2170 in the European morning.

Gold capitalized on falling yields on Wednesday and advanced to a fresh two-week high above $1,740. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield is up 1% so far on Thursday, not allowing XAU/USD to gather further bullish momentum.

USD/JPY closed in negative territory on Wednesday and continues to push lower toward 135.50 on Thursday. On Friday, Tokyo CPI, Industrial Production and Unemployment data from Japan will be watched closely by market participants.

Bitcoin gained 8% on Wednesday but lost its momentum near $23,000. Ethereum touched its highest level since June 10 at $1,676 earlier in the day before retreating toward $1,600.

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.