|

Forex Today: Dollar surges on Fed taper speculation, covid concerns, commodity currencies crumble

Here is what you need to know on Thursday, August 19:

The US dollar has been marching higher after the Fed's meeting minutes suggested that tapering is on the agenda. EUR/USD hit the lowest since November 2020 and the Aussie fails to benefit from upbeat jobs figures. Gold is under pressure and oil sinks to the lowest since May. US jobs figures and covid headlines are eyed. 

Taper is coming: The Federal Reserve's meeting minutes from the July gathering suggested that the bank is tilting toward reducing its bond-buying scheme already in 2021. Many in the committee judged that the threshold of "substantial further progress" has been met. 

The dollar initially dropped as tapering this year is not a shocker and also as Fed officials tend to separate ending its purchases and raising rates. However, the greenback gained ground later on.

Dollar demand also increased due to safe-haven flows related to China's techlash and rising global COVID-19 cases. A study showing that the efficacy of vaccines wanes with time is also contributing to the damp mood.

EUR/USD has tumbled below 1.17, the lowest since November. Rising covid cases in Germany are adding to the pressure. GBP/USD is struggling around 1.37, also in response to below-expectations UK inflation figures. 

AUD/USD has dropped below 0.72 despite upbeat Australian employment figures. The Unemployment Rate tumbled to 4.6% in the land down under. USD/CAD has topped 1.27, also a result of sinking petrol prices. WTI Crude Oil is changing hands below $64 at the time of writing, the lowest since May. 

Cryptocurrencies are under pressure, partially due to a warning from Robinhood, which warned that its revenues could decline if it makes less money on digital asset trading, especially of Dogecoin. Bitcoin is trading around $44,000 and Ethereum just under $3,000. 

US jobless claims are set to show a minor decline and the Philly Fed Manufacturing Index for August to remain close to July's 21.9 points. 

Author

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

FXStreet

Yohay is in Forex since 2008 when he founded Forex Crunch, a blog crafted in his free time that turned into a fully-fledged currency website later sold to Finixio.

More from Yohay Elam
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD accelerates losses, focus is on 1.1800

EUR/USD’s selling pressure is gathering pace now, opening the door to a potential test of the key 1.1800 region sooner rather than later. The pair’s pullback comes on the back of marked gains in the US Dollar following US data releases and the publication of the FOMC Minutes later in the day.

GBP/USD turns negative near 1.3540

GBP/USD reverses its initial upside momentum and is now adding to previous declines, revisiting at the same time the 1.3540 region on Wednesday. Cable’s downtick comes on the back of decent gains in the Greenback and easing UK inflation figures, which seem to have reinforced the case for a BoE rate cut in March.

Gold picks pace, flirts with $5,000

Gold is back on the front foot on Wednesday, shaking off part of the early week softness and pushing higher towards the key $5,000 mark per troy ounce. The move comes ahead of the FOMC Minutes and is unfolding despite an intense rebound in the US Dollar.

Fed Minutes to shed light on January hold decision amid hawkish rate outlook

The Minutes of the Fed’s January 27-28 monetary policy meeting will be published today. Details of discussions on the decision to leave the policy rate unchanged will be scrutinized by investors.

Mixed UK inflation data no gamechanger for the Bank of England

Food inflation plunged in January, but service sector price pressure is proving stickier. We continue to expect Bank of England rate cuts in March and June. The latest UK inflation read is a mixed bag for the Bank of England, but we doubt it drastically changes the odds of a March rate cut.

Sui extends sideways action ahead of Grayscale’s GSUI ETF launch

Sui is extending its downtrend for the second consecutive day, trading at 0.95 at the time of writing on Wednesday. The Layer-1 token is down over 16% in February and approximately 34% from the start of the year, aligning with the overall bearish sentiment across the crypto market.