|

Forex Today: Dollar declines on hopes for a US fiscal deal, ahead of presidential debate

Here is what you need to know on Tuesday, September 29:

Stock markets remain cautiously optimistic and the dollar is on the back foot, extending the reversal from last week's moves. Investors are eyeing a slew of Federal Reserve speeches, fresh hopes related to Brexit, and the first presidential debate.

The dollar is edging lower in a risk-on mood. Talks between Republicans and Democrats continue in Washington, with House Speaker Nancy Pelosi offering a new deal worth $2.2 trillion. The fresh hopes replace the narrative that the focus on nominating a new Supreme Court Justice would divert energy from further relief.

Gold has been consolidating around $1,880, looking for a new direction. 

Investors – especially pound bulls – are also content with reports of some progress in Brexit trade talks. The EU is reportedly ready to work on a legal agreement. 

Reported coronavirus deaths have hit the grim milestone of one million, with cases increasing quickly in Europe and resuming their rises in the US.

Christine Lagarde, President of the European Central Bank, expressed concerns about the impact of the virus on the economy. Preliminary German and Spanish inflation figures for September are due out on Tuesday. 

The economic calendar features a long list of Federal Reserve speakers, with Vice-Chair Richard Clarida standing out. The Fed encouraged the government to provide more fiscal relief and does not plan to increase QE at this point. 

The Conference Board's Confidence Confidence gauge for September is set to extend its recovery.

See US Conference Board Consumer Confidence September Preview:  Neither happy nor sad

President Donald Trump and Democrat rival Joe Biden are scheduled to clash in the first presidential debate late in the day. The incumbent is the underdog in the polls but the challenger is considered a worse debater. The narrative emerging from the event may move markets. Investors are concerned about the specter of an inconclusive election.

See 2020 Elections: How stocks, gold, dollar could move in four scenarios, nightmare one included

Oil prices have been stable with WTI trading around the $40 mark. 

Cryptocurrencies are edging lower in well-known ranges. Bitcoin is changing hands at around $10,700.

Author

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

FXStreet

Yohay is in Forex since 2008 when he founded Forex Crunch, a blog crafted in his free time that turned into a fully-fledged currency website later sold to Finixio.

More from Yohay Elam
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD consolidates below 1.1700 amid cautious markets

EUR/USD is holding steady below 1.1700 in the European trading hours on Thursday. The pair pauses its losing streak as the US Dollar consolidates the recent recovery amid a cautious market mood and ahead of the mid-tier US employment data. 

GBP/USD turns lower to near 1.3450 amid softer risk tone

GBP/USD loses ground to trade near 1.3450 in the early European session on Thursday. Markets turn cautious amid simmering geopolitical tensions and ahead of the US labor market data due later in the day. 

Gold selling pressure persists as traders lock in profits ahead of US NFP report

Gold remains under some selling pressure for the second straight day and slides back closer to the overnight swing low during the Asian session on Thursday. The downtick lacks any fundamental catalyst and is likely to remain limited amid a supportive fundamental backdrop. 

Pi Network flashes bearish potential as selling pressure mounts

Pi Network trades above $0.2000 at press time on Thursday, following a nearly 2% decline the previous day. Centralized Exchanges have received 1.90 million PI tokens over the last 24 hours, suggesting risk-off sentiment among holders. The technical outlook for the PI token remains bearish, with a risk of a cross below the 20-day Exponential Moving Average. 

2026 economic outlook: Clear skies but don’t unfasten your seatbelts yet

Most years fade into the background as soon as a new one starts. Not 2025: a year of epochal shifts, in which the macroeconomy was the dog that did not bark. What to expect in 2026? The shocks of 2025 will not be undone, but neither will they be repeated.

Pi Network Price Forecast: PI flashes bearish potential as selling pressure mounts

Pi Network trades above $0.2000 at press time on Thursday, following a nearly 2% decline the previous day. Centralized Exchanges have received 1.90 million PI tokens over the last 24 hours, suggesting risk-off sentiment among holders.