|

Forex Today: Dollar bulls cheer US inflation figures

What you need to take care of on Thursday, May 12:

The American dollar finished the day with gains against most major rivals, although price action was choppy across the FX market. The greenback rallied after the US annual Consumer Price Index printed at 8.3%, higher than the 8.1% anticipated. The monthly figure was up 0.3% against the 0.2% expected. Finally, the annual core CPI hit 6.2%, slightly below the previous 6.5%, but above the 6% expected. Investors were hoping for confirmation inflation would have peaked, but such numbers hint at a long battle ahead to tame price pressures.

Stocks plunged with the news and managed to turn green afterwards, although the positive tone was short-lived. US indexes closed the day in the red. US government bond yields ended the day down amid demand for safety, with the 10-year Treasury note yielding 2.92% at the close.

The EUR/USD pair trades around 1.0520, weighed by central banks’ imbalance. The European Central Bank has decided to catch up with the rest of major central banks. President Christine Lagarde hinted the central bank could hike rates as soon as July as inflation continues to rise. Also, ECB’s Governor Madis Muller noted that the stimulus program known as APP should end in July, while a hike must not be far behind. Another Governing Council Member, Francois Villeroy, added that the central bank would start hiking this summer.

GBP/USD plunged to the 1.2240 price zone, its lowest since May 2020. The Pound was hit by Brexit woes as the EU announced it would suspend its post-Brexit trade deal with the UK if the UK unilaterally revokes the Northern Ireland Protocol

Meanwhile, the European Commission keeps discussing an embargo on Russian oil imports. The main issue is Hungary’s dependence on Russian supplies.

AUD/USD is down, trading at around 0.6930, while USD/CAD stands at around 1.3000. The Japanese yen appreciated against the greenback, with USD/JPY ending the day at 129.85.

Commodities posted modest intraday advances. Gold is trading at around $1,854 a troy ounce, while WTI recovered to $105.00 a barrel.

Why the current XRP price slump has nothing to do with the SEC


Like this article? Help us with some feedback by answering this survey:

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).