|

Forex Today: BoJ and the Fed take centre stage

The FX universe navigated an inconclusive session on Tuesday amidst rising prudence ahead of the BoJ and Fed policy meetings on July 31. While the Fed is expected to keep rates on hold, Chief Powell could shed further details regarding a potential rate cut in September. Consensus, in the meantime, appears pretty divided when it comes to the BoJ.

Here is what you need to know on Wednesday, July 31:

The USD Index (DXY) gave away initial gains and settled in the mid-104.00s against the backdrop of further decline in US yields across the curve. The Fed meets on July 31 and is seen keeping rates unchanged. Extra releases on the US docket include the weekly Mortgage Applications, the Employment Cost index, Pending Home Sales and the ADP Employment Change.

EUR/USD kept the bearish performance and briefly pierced the 1.0800 support to print four-week lows just to regain some balance afterwards. Germany’s Retail Sales and the labour market report are due on July 31 seconded by preliminary Inflation Rate in the broader euro area.

GBP/USD remained well on the defensive in the low-1.2800s as investors continued to price in a potential rate cut by the BoE on August 1. There are no data releases scheduled on the UK calendar on July 31.

Renewed buying interest in the Japanese yen prompted USD/JPY to fade the earlier uptick and refocus on the downside around the 153.30 zone. The BoJ will decide on rates on July 31. In addition, flash Industrial Production is due along with Retail Sales, Consumer Confidence and Housing Starts.

AUD/USD seems to have entered a consolidative theme near 0.6530, always on the back of Chinese concerns and persistent weakness in the commodity space. The Inflation Rate, Housing Credit, Retail Sales and the RBA’s Monthly CPI Indicator are all expected on July 31.

Another negative session dragged WTI prices to fresh lows in the sub-$75.00 region per barrel, as traders assessed incessant demand concerns from China.

Gold prices printed acceptable gains and approached the $2,400 mark per ounce troy amidst the irresolute price action in the US dollar and declining yields. Silver regained some composure and reversed Monday’s pessimism, reclaiming the area beyond the $28.00 barrier per ounce.

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD trades with negative bias around 1.1730 amid recovering USD; downside seems limited

The EUR/USD pair kicks off the new week on a softer note, though it remains within striking distance of the highest level since early October, touched last Thursday. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.1730 region, down less than 0.10% for the day.

GBP/USD holds steady above mid-1.3300s as traders await key data and BoE this week

The GBP/USD pair remains on the defensive during the Asian session on Monday, though it lacks bearish conviction and holds above the 200-day Simple Moving Average pivotal support. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.3360 region, nearly unchanged for the day.

Gold edges higher above $4,300 on Fed rate cut bets

Gold price attracts some buyers to around $4,315 during the early Asian trading hours on Monday. The precious metal extends its upside to the highest since October 21 amid the prospect of interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve next year. The delayed US Nonfarm Payrolls report for October will be in the spotlight later on Tuesday. 

Week ahead: US NFP and CPI, BoE, ECB and BoJ mark a busy week

After Fed decision, dollar traders lock gaze on NFP and CPI data. Will the BoE deliver a dovish interest rate cut? ECB expected to reiterate “good place” mantra. Will a BoJ rate hike help the yen recover some of its massive losses?

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Aave Price Forecast: AAVE primed for breakout as bullish signals strengthen

Aave (AAVE) price is trading above $204 at the time of writing on Friday and approaching the upper boundary of its descending parallel channel; a breakout from this structure would favor the bulls.