|

Forex Today: All the attention shifts to Powell and Lagarde

The Greenback managed to stage a comeback after a pessimistic start to the week amidst a generalized appetite for the risk complex and rising prudence prior to the speech by Chair Powell, and the ECB’s Lagarde on Tuesday.

Here is what you need to know on Tuesday, July 2:

The USD Index (DXY) left behind two consecutive sessions of losses and refocused on the key 106.00 barrier. The Fed’s Chair J. Powell will participate at an event at the ECB Forum in Portugal. On the docket, the RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index is only due on July 2.

EUR/USD kept its constructive stance well in place and rose to three-week tops around 1.0780 as investors assessed the results from the French snap elections on Sunday. On July 2, preliminary Inflation Rate in the euro bloc is expected prior to the speech by the ECB’s C. Lagarde at the bank’s forum in Sintra (Portugal).

GBP/USD gave away an earlier move to the area just past the 1.2700 hurdle on the back of the resumption of the buying interest in the US Dollar towards the end of the NA session. There will be no data releases across the Channel on July 2.

USD/JPY advanced further and reached new highs in the proximity of the 162.00 region. The Japanese docket will be empty on July 2.

The resurgence of the downward bias in AUD/USD left the pair navigating within the so far unchanged consolidative theme around 0.6650. The RBA Minutes are only expected in Oz on July 2.

Rising optimism regarding the start of the US driving season and supply fears in the second half of the year lifted WTI prices to new highs north of the $83.00 mark per barrel.

Gold prices remained stuck within their recent range near the $2,330 zone per ounce troy, while Silver prices rose for the third session in a row, although still below the key $30.00 mark per ounce.

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Breaking: US Trump strikes Venezuela, claims President Maduro was captured and flown out of the country

United States (US) President Donald Trump has fulfilled his threats and finally struck Venezuela. Different media reports that explosions in Caracas began around 1:50 am local time on Saturday, leaving multiple areas of the city without power.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).