|

Forex Today: All the attention goes to the US labour market

The Greenback succumbed to expectations of a potential 50 bps rate cut by the Fed later this month after data signalled further cooling in the US labour market, all prior to crucial metrics later in the week.

Here is what you need to know on Thursday, September 5:

The US Dollar Index (DXY) receded to multi-day lows near 101.20 on the back of market chatter, suggesting a larger rate cut and shrinking US yields. The key ADP Employment Change takes centre stage on September 5, seconded by weekly Initial Jobless Claims, the final S&P Global Services PMI, and the ISM Services PMI.

EUR/USD regained composure and flirted with the 1.1100 barrier against the backdrop of renewed downward bias in the Greenback. Germany’s Factory Orders will be published on September 5, along with the HCOB Construction PMI in both Germany and the euro area, and Retail Sales in the euro bloc.

The broad-based upbeat mood in the risk complex lifted GBP/USD back above the 1.3100 hurdle, briefly clocking weekly tops. On September 5, New Car Sales are due, followed by the final S&P Global Construction PMI.

Extra appreciation of the Japanese Yen, lower yields, and the marked pullback in the US Dollar all helped USD/JPY retest the 144.00 region, adding to Tuesday’s decline. Average Cash Earnings, and weekly Foreign Bond Investment figures are expected on September 5.

In quite a volatile day, AUD/USD barely changed just above the 0.6700 yardstick amidst Chinese concerns, the weaker Dollar, and declining commodity prices. The Balance of Trade results and the speech by the RBA’s M. Bullock are due on September 5.

WTI prices dropped to new YTD lows near the $69.00 mark per barrel amidst the prevailing bearish sentiment among traders.

Gold prices alternated gains with losses just below the $2,500 mark per ounce troy despite the move lower in the Greenback and the negative performance of US yields. Silver saw a ray of hope following the Dollar’s bearish tone and advanced modestly past the $28.00 mark per ounce.

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.