|

FOMC Minutes amongst market movers today - Rabobank

The Fed will release its minutes from the December meeting when interest rates were raised by 25bps and will be a key economic release for todays session, according to analysts at Rabobank.

Key Quotes

“Investors will be looking for any clues to assess the outlook for monetary policy. Our Fed watcher Philip Marey continues to argue that core inflation will continue to undershoot the Fed’s 2% target. Therefore, he expects only two hikes this year – one in June and another in December - instead of the three hikes that are implied by the dot plot.”

“The ISM report should confirm that the pace of expansion in the US manufacturing sector remained robust in December.”

“Poland’s Prime Minister Morawiecki is scheduled to meet with his Hungarian counterpart Orban. At this stage Hungary seems to be Poland’s only ally in the EU that could block potential sanctions that the EU may seek to impose on Poland for undermining checks and balances. If there is any hint that Orban’s support for Poland may not be as strong as most of investors currently assume, the zloty is set to weaken substantially.”

“Earlier this morning Turkey released the latest data that showed that inflation eased from a 14-year high of 12.98% y/y in November to 11.92% y/y in December – modestly higher than the consensus expectation of 11.85%. The central bank tightened monetary policy in December and we anticipate more hikes this year to support the lira.” 

Author

Sandeep Kanihama

Sandeep Kanihama

FXStreet Contributor

Sandeep Kanihama is an FX Editor and Analyst with FXstreet having principally focus area on Asia and European markets with commodity, currency and equities coverage. He is stationed in the Indian capital city of Delhi.

More from Sandeep Kanihama
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD attempts some consolidation near 1.1750

EUR/USD is staying firmly supported and hovering near two-day highs around 1.1750 on Thursday, shaking off the mild pullback seen a day earlier. The pair is benefiting from a friendlier risk backdrop, underpinned by easing EU–US trade tensions and a softer Greenback. Moving forward, markets’ attention will be on the release of flash PMIs in Europe and the US on Friday.

GBP/USD flirts with 1.3500 on persistent USD selling

GBP/USD is regaining momentum on Thursday and pushing up towards two-week highs around the 1.3500 mark. In the process, Cable is leaving Wednesday’s brief wobble behind and slipping back into its upward trend, helped by ongoing selling pressure on the Greenback ahead of key advanced PMI data on Friday.

Gold: The $5,000 mark is just around the corner

Gold extends its impresive rally for yet another day on Thursday, this time surpassing the $4,900 mark per troy ounce to hit record highs on the back of the marked pullback in the US Dollar. The move is unfolding even as global risk appetite improves, after Donald Trump reversed course on Greenland, a shift that has helped cool broader geopolitical tensions.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP post modest gains as ETF selling pressure intensifies

Bitcoin rises marginally above $90,000, but intense ETF selling pressure continues to weigh on the asset. Ethereum trades around $3,000 amid broader crypto market volatility and waning institutional interest. XRP ticks up for the second consecutive day despite subdued retail demand.

Trump walks back NATO tariffs, signals de-escalation

What began as a sharp escalation risk quickly turned into a de-escalation signal. Earlier this week, markets briefly priced in escalation risk after Donald J. Trump proposed a 10% tariff hike on eight NATO nations amid the Greenland dispute.

XRP defends $1.90 support as ETFs attract inflows despite retail caution

Ripple (XRP) is consolidating above $1.90, a short-term support level, at the time of writing on Thursday. This mild uptick marks two consecutive days of a strengthening technical outlook, following recent market-wide volatility.