|

Fed's Williams: We're beginning to factor in tariff impact on prices

Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of New York President John Williams spoke at the Bloomberg Invest Forum in New York on Tuesday, highlighting that although inflation pressures have eased and the US labor market appears strong, the Fed will have to take a close look at the fallout from the US tariff actions.

Key highlights

Details of tariffs are key to understand.

There's still a lot of uncertainty how tariffs will play out.

We will see some impact on inflation from tariffs.

Tariffs can also impact sentiment and weigh on growth.

We're beginning to factor in tariff impact on prices.

I have somewhat higher prices in outlook.

The US economy is in a good place, and the labor market has stabilized.

Infaltion has been gradually easing.

Monetary policy is in good position and we can adjust as needed.

I don't see need to change rate policy right now.

I expect growth to slow from last year's pace.

I'm watching inflation expectations very closely.

Worth watching University of Michigan inflation expectations data.

NY Fed data thus far has shown more stable inflation expectations.

Talk of tariffs impacting how people are thinking about near term inflation.

It's hard to have an economic outlook base case; it's more about scenarios.

It's really hard to know what Fed will do with rates this year.

Fed balance sheet strategy has not changed.

Fed Minutes on balance sheet did not change ultimate goals.

Previous Fed framework influenced by low inflation.

Author

Joshua Gibson

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

More from Joshua Gibson
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD flirts with two-day lows near 1.3180

GBP/USD remains on the back foot in the latter part of Tuesday’s session, sliding to the sub-1.3200 area and challenging weekly lows. Cable’s decline comes as investors assess the political uncertainty in the UK, coupled with softer-than-expected UK PMI data and the better tone in the Greenback.

EUR/USD weakens below 1.1400 on stronger Dollar

EUR/USD adds to Monday’s losses and recedes below the 1.1400 support to clinch fresh 13-month lows in the latter part of Tuesday’s NA session. The pair’s marked sell-off comes on the back of the persistent move higher in th US Dollar, always propped up by rising bets of further tightening by the Fed.

Gold appears supported near $4,100 for now

Gold rapidly reverses Monday's bounce and is trading sharply lower on Tuesday. The yellow metal, however, manages well to keep business above the $4,100 mark per troy ounce despite a firmer US Dollar and expectations that the Fed will keep rates higher for longer.

Australia CPI set to show inflation accelerated again in May

The Australian Bureau of Statistics will publish the high-impact Consumer Price Index for May on Wednesday at 01:30 GMT. Heading into the inflation test, the Australian Dollar is at its lowest level in two months against the US Dollar, having surrendered the 0.7000 psychological mark.

"Rearranging the deckchairs on the Titanic": UK's fiscal crisis outlasts another Prime Minister

Keir Starmer's resignation as the UK Prime Minister comes ten years after the Brexit referendum vote, a coincidence that financial markets have been quick to note. The British Pound trades around 1.3220 against the US Dollar on Thursday.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.