|

EUR/USD weakness expected to stay short-lived – Danske Bank

Aila Mihr, Analyst at Danske Bank, sees potential pullbacks in spot to remain brief in the near/medium term.

Key Quotes

“EUR/USD once again spiked on Friday following the release of US GDP data, showing solid growth in Q2 but a still weak inflation outlook, as the employment cost index fell short of expectations. As such, continued solid growth in the US and still low inflation combined with an ongoing solid recovery in the euro area supports the case for less Fed-ECB divergence in the future and thus is EUR/USD positive”

“We still see EUR/USD higher longer term, targeting 1.22 in 12M and, in our view, investors and corporates should continue to focus on the long trend in EUR/USD. In the near term, we expect momentum in the appreciation trend to level off amid stretched positioning, short-term valuations and technicals”.

“We target 1.17 in 3M but we still think any corrections lower is likely to be relatively moderate and short-lived”.

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD looks offered just above 0.7100

AUD/USD has extended Monday’s pessimism, briefly breaching below the key. 0.7100 contention zone to hit three-day lows. The firmer tone in the Greenback has been keeping the Aussie under pressure while investors continued to gear up for the upcoming Trump-Xi Summit on Thursday.

USD/JPY holds small gains near 157.50 as JPY intervention risks loom

USD/JPY posts modest gains while trading near 157.50 in the Asian session on Tuesday as intervention fears help limit losses for the Japanese Yen. However, the BoJ's dovish rate hike to a 31-year high keeps JPY bulls on the back foot. Meanwhile, the US Dollar retains a bullish undertone amid the Fed's hawkish outlook and escalating Middle East tensions, providing tailwinds for the pair.

Gold makes a U-turn; focus shifts to $4,400

Gold regains balance and now trades with decent gains, approaching the key $4,400 mark per troy ounce on Tuesday. The yellow metal’s advance comes despite the resumption of the buying interest in the US Dollar, mixed US Treasury yields and geopolitical uncertainty.

XRP retains bullish outlook despite paring gains above $1.50
Ripple (XRP) trades elevated above $1.52 on Tuesday despite experiencing a minor correction from the previous day’s high of $1.57. XRP framed the uptrend last week, rising alongside the broader bullish cryptocurrency market.
Trump meets Xi: Why markets are watching this summit so closely
United States (US) President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping are set to meet in Washington on Thursday for a summit closely watched by markets. After several months of easing trade tensions between the US and China, the meeting could determine whether the world's two largest economies extend their truce or enter a new period of uncertainty.
BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks.