EUR/USD: US data and fear of the Delta variant to push the pair lower


EUR/USD has been struggling to recover amid a risk-off mood. New lows in sight? US data, Delta and technicals all point lower, according to FXStreet’s analyst Yohay Elam.

The downbeat market mood could extend for another day

“The US consumer is in focus on Friday, with all-important Retail Sales expected to show a decline in June, extending May's slide. Disappointing data did not hurt the dollar on Thursday and it could advance on Friday if fresh concerns arise.”

“What do shoppers think about inflation? The University of Michigan's preliminary Consumer Sentiment figures for July may provide some answers. If the inflation components of this survey rise, the dollar could follow suit. The Fed and markets are following forward-looking figures closely.” 

“The Delta covid variant is spreading on both sides of the pond. The Netherlands, Cyprus, Spain and Portugal are the old continent's current hotspots, but infections are creeping higher also in other countries. That could slow the recovery. In America, cases are much lower, but are on the rise in several places – and the immunization drive has stalled. However, while the euro suffers from growth concerns, the dollar benefits from safe-haven flows.” 

“Euro/dollar is suffering from downside momentum on the four-hour chart and has slipped back below the 50 Simple Moving Average. As the Relative Strength Index is outside oversold territory, there is room for more falls.”

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

AUD/USD rises to two-day high ahead of Aussie CPI

AUD/USD rises to two-day high ahead of Aussie CPI

The Aussie Dollar recorded back-to-back positive days against the US Dollar and climbed more than 0.59% on Tuesday, as the US April S&P PMIs were weaker than expected. That spurred speculations that the Federal Reserve could put rate cuts back on the table. The AUD/USD trades at 0.6488 as Wednesday’s Asian session begins.

AUD/USD News

EUR/USD holds above 1.0700 on weaker US Dollar, upbeat Eurozone PMI

EUR/USD holds above 1.0700 on weaker US Dollar, upbeat Eurozone PMI

EUR/USD holds above the 1.0700 psychological barrier during the early Asian session on Wednesday. The weaker-than-expected US PMI data for April drags the Greenback lower and creates a tailwind for the pair. 

EUR/USD News

Gold price cautious despite weaker US Dollar and falling US yields

Gold price cautious despite weaker US Dollar and falling US yields

Gold retreats modestly after failing to sustain gains despite fall in US Treasury yields, weaker US Dollar. XAU/USD struggles to capitalize following release of weaker-than-expected S&P Global PMIs, fueling speculation about potential Fed rate cuts.

Gold News

Ethereum ETF issuers not giving up fight, expert says as Grayscale files S3 prospectus

Ethereum ETF issuers not giving up fight, expert says as Grayscale files S3 prospectus

Ethereum exchange-traded funds theme gained steam after the landmark approval of multiple BTC ETFs in January. However, the campaign for approval of this investment alternative continues, with evidence of ongoing back and forth between prospective issuers and the US SEC.

Read more

Australia CPI Preview: Inflation set to remain above target as hopes of early interest-rate cuts fade

Australia CPI Preview: Inflation set to remain above target as hopes of early interest-rate cuts fade

An Australian inflation update takes the spotlight this week ahead of critical United States macroeconomic data. The Australian Bureau of Statistics will release two different inflation gauges on Wednesday.

Read more

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures