EUR/USD: Upside seems limited ahead of EZ Q3 GDP, Draghi’s speech


  • DXY sits at 2-week tops.
  • Risk-on to weigh?
  • Eyes on EZ Q3 GDP, US jobless claims and Draghi’s speech.

The EUR/USD pair traded in a 15-pips tight range around 1.18 handle in the Asian trades, consolidating the overnight recovery from 2-week troughs of 1.1781.

EUR/USD: 50-DMA support of 1.1758 still in sight

The main currency pair’s tepid recovery lost legs at the support-turned-resistance located at 100-DMA at 1.1809 levels, leaving the rates modestly flat so far this session, as the bulls await fresh impetus to extend the recovery mode.   

The stalled upside in EUR/USD can be mainly attributed to the risk-on rally seen in the Asian equities, which usually weighs down on the demand for the funding currency Euro. Moreover, with the US dollar sitting at two-week tops across its main competitors amid higher Treasury yields, the spot is likely to keep the recovery gains in check. The USD index trades at 93.55, hovering near the 2-week tops of 93.62.

On Wednesday, the major slumped to the lowest levels since Nov. 22 after the US dollar extended the rally across the board on the US tax news optimism and inline ADP report. More so, widening 10-year US-German yield spread also supported the greenback, adding to the downside in the prices.

Looking ahead, the pair will await the releases of the German industrial figures and Eurozone Q3 GDP revision ahead of the US jobless claims and ECB Draghi’s speech due later in the NA session. ECB Chief Draghi is due to hold a press conference presented by the Bank for International Settlements, hosted at the ECB, in Frankfurt.

EUR/USD Technical Levels

Valeria Bednarik, Chief Analyst at FXStreet, noted: “Shorter term, and according to the 4 hours chart, the risk also leans towards the downside, as the price has fallen further below it's 20 and 100 SMAs, with the shortest gaining downward traction above the largest, as technical indicators continue nearing oversold territory. The 1.1820/30 region is now the immediate resistance ahead of the 1.1870 price zone, where selling interest capped the upside ever since the week started. Support levels: 1.1760 1.1725 1.1685. Resistance levels: 1.1825 1.1870 1.1910.”                                                     

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD edges lower toward 1.0700 post-US PCE

EUR/USD edges lower toward 1.0700 post-US PCE

EUR/USD stays under modest bearish pressure but manages to hold above 1.0700 in the American session on Friday. The US Dollar (USD) gathers strength against its rivals after the stronger-than-forecast PCE inflation data, not allowing the pair to gain traction.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD retreats to 1.2500 on renewed USD strength

GBP/USD retreats to 1.2500 on renewed USD strength

GBP/USD lost its traction and turned negative on the day near 1.2500. Following the stronger-than-expected PCE inflation readings from the US, the USD stays resilient and makes it difficult for the pair to gather recovery momentum.

GBP/USD News

Gold struggles to hold above $2,350 following US inflation

Gold struggles to hold above $2,350 following US inflation

Gold turned south and declined toward $2,340, erasing a large portion of its daily gains, as the USD benefited from PCE inflation data. The benchmark 10-year US yield, however, stays in negative territory and helps XAU/USD limit its losses. 

Gold News

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC’s next breakout could propel it to $80,000 Premium

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC’s next breakout could propel it to $80,000

Bitcoin’s recent price consolidation could be nearing its end as technical indicators and on-chain metrics suggest a potential upward breakout. However, this move would not be straightforward and could punish impatient investors. 

Read more

Week ahead – Hawkish risk as Fed and NFP on tap, Eurozone data eyed too

Week ahead – Hawkish risk as Fed and NFP on tap, Eurozone data eyed too

Fed meets on Wednesday as US inflation stays elevated. Will Friday’s jobs report bring relief or more angst for the markets? Eurozone flash GDP and CPI numbers in focus for the Euro.

Read more

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures