|

EUR/USD treading water near 1.0660, hanging near the top of the range

  • EUR/USD spends Friday trading into familiar territory.
  • US PMIs kept the USD capped with a mixed print.
  • USD on track to close out with weekly gains, but capped for the end of the week.

The EUR/USD is trading into neutral ground heading into the end of the trading week, testing well-trodded ground near the 1.0660 handle.

US Purchasing Manager Index (PMI) figures came in off-kilter, triggering a soft walkback for the Greenback (USD) during the Friday trading session, but keeping losses limited to intraday boundaries.

European PMI figures earlier on Friday saw the Euro (EUR) ease back after an unexpected drop, with the manufacturing component printing at 43.4 versus the forecast 44.0.

The US Manufacturing PMI printed above expectations at 48.9 for September, compared to 47.9 for August, but the Services PMI component fell back to 50.2, reversing the market forecast increase to 50.6.

Read more:

Eurozone Preliminary Manufacturing PMI unexpectedly falls to 43.4 in September vs. 44.0 expected

US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI improves to 48.9, Services PMI declines to 50.2 in September

EUR/USD corkscrews on PMIs that disappoint on both sides of the pond

The economic calendar looking forward is notably thin for the first half of next week, though traders will want to keep at least one eye on US Consumer Confidence on Tuesday, as well as Wednesday's Durable Goods Orders.

Market analysts see Durable Goods Orders for August slipping back only 0.4% after the previous reading of -5.2%.

EUR/USD technical outlook

The Euro has been cycling the 1.0660 level but has so far been unable to meaningfully mount the technical level, and is pacing familiar territory to close out the trading week.

The EUR/USD fell to a Friday low of 1.0615 but recovered to the top side near Friday's peak just north of 1.0670.

Hourly candles see the EUR/USD trading just south of the 200-hour Simple Moving Average (SMA) near 1.0685.

On the daily candlesticks, the Euro is decidedly bearish, continuing to decline through the 200-day SMA and down almost 5.5% from July's peak near 1.1275.

The 34-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is set to confirm a bearish cross of the 200-day SMA, and investors might be looking out for a relief rally to a major technical level before resuming another leg down.

EUR/USD daily chart

EUR/USD technical levels

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.0657
Today Daily Change-0.0003
Today Daily Change %-0.03
Today daily open1.066
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0745
Daily SMA501.0897
Daily SMA1001.0881
Daily SMA2001.083
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0674
Previous Daily Low1.0617
Previous Weekly High1.0769
Previous Weekly Low1.0632
Previous Monthly High1.1065
Previous Monthly Low1.0766
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0639
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0652
Daily Pivot Point S11.0627
Daily Pivot Point S21.0594
Daily Pivot Point S31.057
Daily Pivot Point R11.0683
Daily Pivot Point R21.0707
Daily Pivot Point R31.074

Author

Joshua Gibson

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

More from Joshua Gibson
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD bounces off lows, back above 1.3200

After bottoming out near 1.3160, GBP/USD manages to regain a bit of shine and reclaim the 1.3200 mark and beyond at the end of the week. Stronger-than-expected UK Retail Sales data seem to be helping the British Pound limit its losses, while the chaotic UK political environment keeps the bulls at bay for now.

EUR/USD looks consolidative around 1.1460

EUR/USD stages a modest rebound after slipping to a three-month low below 1.1420 at the end of the week. That said, the pair now looks to consolidate humble gains just above 1.1460 despite growing uncertainty surrounding the next round of US-Iran negotiations, which keeps the US Dollar’s downside contained.

Gold slips back to six-day lows, targets $4,100

Gold retreats for the third consecutive day on Friday, eroding gains seen in the first half of the week and approaching the key $4,100 mark per troy ounce. Indeed, the precious metal continues to face headwinds from the Fed's hawkish stance and renewed uncertainty surrounding the next round of US-Iran negotiations.

Solana extends correction despite ETF inflows, RWA adoption

Solana (SOL) price edges below $70 extending its losses for the fourth straight day this week. The institutional demand for Solana is building, with steady inflows so far this week and Morgan Stanley’s amended S-1 filing for a Solana-focused Exchange-Traded Fund.

The Iran war didn't break the US economy, but what happens next?

Nearly four months after the start of the Iran war, the US economy remains remarkably resilient. While the conflict initially triggered a severe disruption to global energy markets and a sharp rise in Oil prices, recent diplomatic progress between Washington and Tehran has eased concerns about a prolonged supply shock.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.