|

EUR/USD treading water near 1.0660, hanging near the top of the range

  • EUR/USD spends Friday trading into familiar territory.
  • US PMIs kept the USD capped with a mixed print.
  • USD on track to close out with weekly gains, but capped for the end of the week.

The EUR/USD is trading into neutral ground heading into the end of the trading week, testing well-trodded ground near the 1.0660 handle.

US Purchasing Manager Index (PMI) figures came in off-kilter, triggering a soft walkback for the Greenback (USD) during the Friday trading session, but keeping losses limited to intraday boundaries.

European PMI figures earlier on Friday saw the Euro (EUR) ease back after an unexpected drop, with the manufacturing component printing at 43.4 versus the forecast 44.0.

The US Manufacturing PMI printed above expectations at 48.9 for September, compared to 47.9 for August, but the Services PMI component fell back to 50.2, reversing the market forecast increase to 50.6.

Read more:

Eurozone Preliminary Manufacturing PMI unexpectedly falls to 43.4 in September vs. 44.0 expected

US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI improves to 48.9, Services PMI declines to 50.2 in September

EUR/USD corkscrews on PMIs that disappoint on both sides of the pond

The economic calendar looking forward is notably thin for the first half of next week, though traders will want to keep at least one eye on US Consumer Confidence on Tuesday, as well as Wednesday's Durable Goods Orders.

Market analysts see Durable Goods Orders for August slipping back only 0.4% after the previous reading of -5.2%.

EUR/USD technical outlook

The Euro has been cycling the 1.0660 level but has so far been unable to meaningfully mount the technical level, and is pacing familiar territory to close out the trading week.

The EUR/USD fell to a Friday low of 1.0615 but recovered to the top side near Friday's peak just north of 1.0670.

Hourly candles see the EUR/USD trading just south of the 200-hour Simple Moving Average (SMA) near 1.0685.

On the daily candlesticks, the Euro is decidedly bearish, continuing to decline through the 200-day SMA and down almost 5.5% from July's peak near 1.1275.

The 34-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is set to confirm a bearish cross of the 200-day SMA, and investors might be looking out for a relief rally to a major technical level before resuming another leg down.

EUR/USD daily chart

EUR/USD technical levels

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.0657
Today Daily Change-0.0003
Today Daily Change %-0.03
Today daily open1.066
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0745
Daily SMA501.0897
Daily SMA1001.0881
Daily SMA2001.083
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0674
Previous Daily Low1.0617
Previous Weekly High1.0769
Previous Weekly Low1.0632
Previous Monthly High1.1065
Previous Monthly Low1.0766
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0639
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0652
Daily Pivot Point S11.0627
Daily Pivot Point S21.0594
Daily Pivot Point S31.057
Daily Pivot Point R11.0683
Daily Pivot Point R21.0707
Daily Pivot Point R31.074

Author

Joshua Gibson

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

More from Joshua Gibson
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD sticks to positive bias above 0.7100; lacks bullish conviction

AUD/USD trades with a positive bias for the second straight day, holding above 0.7100 in the Asian session on Friday as softer US bond yields keep US Dollar bulls on the back foot. Furthermore, hawkish RBA Governor Bullock's comments boost rate hike bets and support the Aussie. However, the Fed's hawkish outlook, along with geopolitical uncertainties, limits USD losses and caps the pair.

USD/JPY approaches 158.00 as Japanese Yen resumes decline

USD/JPY is resuming its upside in the European session on Friday, refreshing two-week highs and nearing 158.00. The Japanese Yen extends losses, despite the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) expected rate hike to 1.25% and hawkish Governor Ueda's comments, as two surprise dissents against the rate hike weigh on it.

Gold keeps the bid tone in place; still below $4,400

Gold adds to the optimism seen in the second half of the week, trading with decent gains just below the $4,400 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The precious metal’s advance finds traction in declining crude oil prices and fresh selling pressure on the US Dollar.

Why altcoin season isn't coming back — and what stole its capital
If, after two years of being frozen in ice, Katara and Sokka woke you up to the crypto market, it would seem like 100 years have passed. With Bitcoin soaring to record highs just over a year ago, everyone expected a routine altcoin season, where investors take profits from the top crypto to chase higher returns in altcoins.
BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The BoJ raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks. Governor Kazuo Ueda said the policy phase had changed.

BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks.