|

EUR/USD: To test the 1.0970-1.0980 resistance zone – UOB Group

Rejuvenated momentum suggests further Euro (EUR) strength. EUR could test but is unlikely to break clearly above the significant resistance zone between 1.0970 and 1.0980, UOB Group FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note.

Upwards momentum suggests further EUR strength

24-HOUR VIEW: “Our view of EUR trading in a range yesterday was incorrect. Instead of trading in a range, EUR surged, reaching a high of 1.0947 before closing at 1.0937 (+0.37%). Not surprisingly, the sharp advance is overbought. However, as long as 1.0910 (with minor support at 1.0925) is not breached, EUR could test but is unlikely to break clearly above the significant resistance zone between 1.0970 and 1.0980.”

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: “In our most recent narrative from two days ago (16 Jul, spot at 1.0895), we highlighted that ‘while there is still scope for EUR to rise further, upward momentum is slowing, and it remains to be seen if any further advance can reach 1.0940.’ We also highlighted that ‘a breach of 1.0850 (no change in ‘strong support’ level) would mean that the EUR strength from early this month (as annotated in the chart below) has run its course.’ Yesterday, EUR took off and broke above 1.0940, reaching a high of 1.0947. The rejuvenated upward momentum suggests further EUR strength, even though the 1.0970/1.0980 zone is expected to pose significant resistance. On the downside, the ‘strong support’ level has moved higher to 1.0885 from 1.0850.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD hits multi-week tops around 1.3560

GBP/USD gathers fresh steam and advances to new three-month peaks near the 1.3560 zone on Friday. Cable’s sharp move higher comes after three daily drops in a row and follows the increasing selling pressure hurting the Greenback.

EUR/USD pops to fresh two-month highs, targets 1.1600

EUR/USD advances markedly, revisiting the upper 1.1500s for the first time since mid-June. The pair’s sharp uptick comes on the back of a strong retracement in the US Dollar amid BoJ intervention chatter and despite steady uncertainty in the Middle East.

Gold picks up pace, approaches $4,400

Gold rebounds toward the $4,400 mark per troy ounce on Friday, reversing the previous day’s pullback. The precious metal’s recovery comes as fresh and intense weakness keep weighing on the US Dollar, while traders keep assessing easing expectations of an imminent Fed interest rate hike and the situation from the Middle East.

Pi Network Price Forecast: PI extends consolidation as bulls eye $0.10
Pi Network (PI) price holds steady on Friday, maintaining a consolidating tone for three consecutive days. Mild retail strength in the PI token remains stable, with Open Interest above $9 million, while social buzz eases. PI token’s technical outlook is mixed, as bearish momentum wanes to neutral, with bulls eyeing the $0.1000 psychological level.
 Weekly focus: Some relief in US inflation concerns

Actual inflation data for July came out as expected with a 0.1% m/m increase in headline CPI and 0.2% excluding food and energy. Annual headline inflation remains too high at 3.4% and means that wage earners are experiencing stagnating spending power at best, and core inflation is a bit higher than the inflation target of two percent would suggest.

Why is Crude Oil priced for a reopening the ships haven't made?
Fourteen vessels crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday. Before the war, the count ran near 120 a day. In the sessions since the waterway was publicly declared open, Brent has drifted back to $87 and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) to $81, both a little lower again on Wednesday, with daily momentum on each unwound from the top of its range in late July to the low twenties now.