|

EUR/USD technical analysis: Rejected at 200-hour MA in Asia

  • EUR/USD has charted a bearish lower high at the 200-hour momving average resistance. 
  • A breakout on USD/CNH could yield a bigger drop in EUR/USD. 

EUR/USD picked up a bid around 1.1159 in early Asia, but failed to take out the 200-hour moving average (MA) resistance at 1.1173 and is now trading at 1.1165. 

The currency pair has essentially established a second bearish lower high, having ended the corrective bounce from the May 23 low of 1.1107 at 1.1215 on Monday. 

The path of least resistance, therefore, is to the downside. The currency pair may drop well below the recent low of 1.1107 if the bull flag seen on USD/CNH’s daily chart is breached on the higher side. That would pave way for a break above 7.00, leading to a broad-based USD rally. 

The EUR/USD’s outlook would turn bullish if and when the pair finds acceptance above the 50-day moving average, currently at 1.1220. 

Hourly chart

Trend: Bearish 

Pivot points

    1. R3 6.9584
    2. R2 6.9448
    3. R1 6.9331
  1. PP 6.9195
    1. S1 6.9079
    2. S2 6.8943
    3. S3 6.8826

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD remains flattish around 1.3300

GBP/USD alternates gains with losses near the 1.3300 threshold on Wednesday. Indeed, Cable struggles to gain traction as the Greenback remains resilient ahead of the Fed gathering later in the day. Moving forward, the British Pound should remain under the microscope in light of the BoE meeting on Thursday.

EUR/USD treads water below 1.1400; focus is on the Fed

EUR/USD trades in a tight range below 1.1400 on Wednesday as the US Dollar (USD) benefits from risk aversion amid the deepening crisis in the Middle East. Investors refrain from taking large positions ahead of the Fed’s policy decision, which could provide fresh directional impetus for spot.

Gold recedes to multi-day troughs below $4,000

Gold remains on the back foot on Wednesday, breaching below the psychological $4,000 level per troy ounce despite the US Dollar’s lack of direction. Escalating tensions in the US-Iran conflict weigh on the precious metal, while investors await the FOMC event later in the day.

Bitcoin slips below support, Ethereum and XRP flash bearish signals

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple remain under pressure on Wednesday after a mild correction earlier this week. BTC slips below a key support zone, and ETH is testing a key resistance zone. Meanwhile, XRP is drifting toward the psychologically important $1.00 support level.

Federal Reserve set to hold interest rates steady, yet a hike can’t be ruled out
The United States (US) Federal Reserve (Fed) announces its interest rate decision on Wednesday, another pivotal meeting for markets to gauge the stance of policymakers as they assess how rising crude Oil prices could impact the inflation outlook.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.