|

EUR/USD takes a sharp U-turn, drops back to 1.1640

  • The EUR/USD recovery fizzles as USD bounces-back across the board.
  • Upbeat German and Eurozone services PMI could offer some support to the Euro.

The EUR/USD pair faced rejection once again near the 1.1680 region and from there came under heavy selling pressure at the European open, after the US dollar staged a solid comeback across its main competitors.

EUR/USD: Focus shifts to FOMC minutes

The spot eroded 50-pips rapidly and now hovers near daily lows of 1.1637, as the monetary policy divergence between both continents is back in play amid a lack of fresh fundamental catalysts and ahead of the FOMC June meeting minutes release due tomorrow. The Fed remains on track for two more rate hikes this year amid strengthening US economy.

However, it remains to be seen If the major can hold the 1.16 handle in the day ahead, as better-than-expected German and Eurozone June services PMI data could rescue the EUR bulls.

Meanwhile, markets continue to digest the Financial Times (FT) report that the European Union (EU) is s considering talks on a tariff-cutting deal between the world’s big car exporters to prevent an all-out trade war with the US.

With the Euroland data out of the way, there is no macro news on the cards as the US observes the Independence Day holiday. Hence, the pair will continue to get influenced by the US dollar price-action.

EUR/USD Technical Levels:

Nenad Kerkez, Head of Technical Analysis and Trading at Elite CurrenSea, explains: “The EUR/USD has been contained in a consolidation triangle and we can see that the price is close to the vortex now. However, a three touch trend line has been spotted at resistance and as long as the EUR/USD is below 1.1687, there is a chance for a drop towards 1.1644. Below 1.1644 targets are 1.1629 and 1.1605. Only above 1.1687, the pair should be bullish eventually reaching 1.1711 and 1.1735.”

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady below 1.1800

EUR/USD moves sideways in a narrow channel below 1.1800 as the market volatility remains low ahead of the New Year holiday. On Tuesday, investors will pay close attention to the minutes of the Federal Reserve's December policy meeting.

GBP/USD retreats below 1.3500 as trading conditions remain thin

GBP/USD corrects lower after posting strong gains in the previous week and trades below 1.3500 on Monday. With the action in financial markets turning subdued following the Christmas holiday, however, the pair's losses remain limited.

Gold holds above $4,300 after profit taking kicked in

Gold retreats sharply from the record-peak it set at $4,550 and trades below $4,400, losing more than 3% on the day. Growing optimism about a Ukraine-Russia peace agreement and profit-taking ahead of the New Year holiday seem to be causing XAU/USD to stay under heavy bearish pressure.

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP bulls regain strength

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple record roughly 3% gains on Monday, regaining strength mid-holiday season. Despite thin liquidity in the holiday season, BTC and major altcoins are regaining strength as US President Donald Trump pushes peace talks between Russia and Ukraine. The technical outlook for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple gradually shifts bullish as selling pressure wanes.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).