|

EUR/USD surrenders a major part of early modest gains to 200-DMA

  • EUR/USD retreats from 200-DMA on softer French/German Manufacturing PMIs.
  • Slightly better Services PMI and persistent USD selling helped limit the downside.

The shared currency lost some ground during the early European session on Monday and dragged the EUR/USD pair to the lower end of its daily trading range, around the 1.1130 region.

The pair failed to capitalize on its early uptick and started retreating from the very important 200-day SMA following the disappointing releases of manufacturing PMI prints from the Eurozone's two largest economies – France and Germany.

Mixed Eurozone PMI prints failed to impress bulls

In fact, the French Manufacturing PMI barely managed to hold in the expansion territory and came in at 50.3 for December, down from the previous month's final print of 51.7 and consensus estimates pointing to a reading of 51.5.

Adding to this, the German Manufacturing PMI unexpectedly fell to 43.4 during the reported month as compared 44.5 expected and 44.1 previous, hitting two-month lows and contracting for the 12th consecutive month in December.

Meanwhile, the broader Eurozone Manufacturing PMI also missed market expectations, though the negative readings, to some extent, were offset by slightly better-than-expected Services PMI prints and extended some support.

This, coupled with the prevalent US dollar selling bias – despite a modest intraday pickup in the US Treasury bond yields amid the latest optimism over the US-China trade deal – further collaborated towards limiting the downside.

Moving ahead, the flash version of the US Manufacturing PMI, a key highlight from Monday's relatively thin US economic docket, will now be looked upon for some impetus later during the early North-American session.

Technical levels to watch

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.1129
Today Daily Change0.0012
Today Daily Change %0.11
Today daily open1.1117
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.1066
Daily SMA501.1069
Daily SMA1001.1066
Daily SMA2001.1154
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.12
Previous Daily Low1.1112
Previous Weekly High1.12
Previous Weekly Low1.1054
Previous Monthly High1.1176
Previous Monthly Low1.0981
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.1145
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.1167
Daily Pivot Point S11.1085
Daily Pivot Point S21.1054
Daily Pivot Point S31.0996
Daily Pivot Point R11.1174
Daily Pivot Point R21.1232
Daily Pivot Point R31.1263

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.